Umag Croatia Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Damir Dzumhur vs Stan Wawrinka Prediction

Damir Dzumhur

Rank: #70
55%
VS

Stan Wawrinka

Rank: #156
45%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Damir Dzumhur

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Ranking Trends

Damir Dzumhur

  • Current #70 2025-07-14
  • 3 mo ago #63 2025-04-21
  • 6 mo ago #82 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #104 2024-10-21
  • 12 mo ago #103 2024-07-22

Stan Wawrinka

  • Current #156 2025-07-14
  • 3 mo ago #158 2025-04-21
  • 6 mo ago #156 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #169 2024-10-21
  • 12 mo ago #109 2024-07-22

Player Metrics

Damir Dzumhur

Form Index: 39.7
ELO Rating: 886.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1560.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.6
Clay: 8.1
Grass: 5.3
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 89.5

Stan Wawrinka

Form Index: 28.0
ELO Rating: 415.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1569.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 73.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.1
Clay: 3.5
Grass: 3.5
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 85.4

Recent Matches

Damir Dzumhur
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Cerundolo (2-0) clay Bastad 106 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Hugo Gaston (2-1) clay Bastad 108 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Sebastian Ofner (2-0) clay Bastad 87 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Machac (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Rinderknech (1-2) grass Mallorca 151 min

Stan Wawrinka
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Damir Dzumhur
vs
0
Stan Wawrinka
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Umag tournament in Croatia, Damir Dzumhur is set to face Stan Wawrinka on clay. The match is expected to be competitive, with Dzumhur slightly favored to win, holding a probability of 54.55% compared to Wawrinka's 45.45%. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 22.0.

Match Analysis

Damir Dzumhur enters this match ranked 70th, with a form index of 39.67 and an Elo rating of 886.91. He has shown strong performances recently, especially on clay, with a surface strength index of 8.06. Notably, Dzumhur exhibits a significant advantage in his mean return index (89.53) over Wawrinka (85.43), exceeding the 5-point difference threshold. His cumulative fatigue stands at 0.0 minutes, indicating he is well-rested and ready for the challenge. In contrast, Stan Wawrinka, currently ranked 156th, has a form index of 28.01 and a much lower Elo rating of 415.47. His surface strength index is considerably lower at 3.46, reflecting challenges he has faced on clay recently. Wawrinka has accumulated 73.0 minutes of fatigue in the current tournament, which could impact his performance. His recent matches show mixed results, including a loss in Gstaad and a first-round win in Umag, while Dzumhur has been on a winning streak in Bastad, winning all three of his last matches convincingly.

Final Prediction

Damir Dzumhur's recent form and his advantage in return capabilities provide him with a crucial edge over Stan Wawrinka. The key factor to watch in this match will be Dzumhur's ability to capitalize on Wawrinka's fatigue and his own strong return game, which could dictate the flow and outcome of the contest.

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