Halle Germany Grass Atp 500 Semifinals

Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Prediction

Daniil Medvedev

Rank: #11
38%
VS

Alexander Zverev

Rank: #3
62%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Zverev

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Ranking Trends

Daniil Medvedev

  • Current #11 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #8 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #5 2024-12-16
  • 9 mo ago #5 2024-09-16
  • 12 mo ago #5 2024-06-17

Alexander Zverev

  • Current #3 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #2 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #2 2024-12-16
  • 9 mo ago #2 2024-09-16
  • 12 mo ago #4 2024-06-17

Player Metrics

Daniil Medvedev

Form Index: 56.3
ELO Rating: 3673.1
Glicko2 Rating: 2150.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 151.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 33.9
Clay: 35.9
Grass: 42.0
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 88.0

Alexander Zverev

Form Index: 70.6
ELO Rating: 6364.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1884.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 323.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 55.0
Clay: 54.0
Grass: 62.0
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 87.9

Recent Matches

Daniil Medvedev
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

Alexander Zverev
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Flavio Cobolli (2-0) grass Halle 101 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-1) grass Halle 143 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Marcos Giron (2-0) grass Halle 79 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) grass Stuttgart 85 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ben Shelton (2-0) grass Stuttgart 121 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Daniil Medvedev
vs
0
Alexander Zverev
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The semifinals of the Halle tournament are set to feature a compelling match between Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev on grass, where both players aim for a spot in the final. The predicted winner is Alexander Zverev, with a probability of 62.13% to win against Medvedev's 37.87%. It is anticipated that the match will see a total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Daniil Medvedev, currently ranked 11th, has a form index of 56.35 and an Elo rating of 3673.08. Despite his recent success in the tournament, where he has won his last two matches convincingly, he faces a challenge due to his cumulative fatigue of 151 minutes. His surface strength index stands at 42.01, indicating a moderate performance on grass, while his mean serve index is impressive at 96.66, coupled with a strong return index of 87.98. In contrast, Alexander Zverev, ranked 3rd, boasts a higher form index of 70.59 and an Elo rating of 6363.96. Although he has accumulated more fatigue at 323 minutes, Zverev's surface strength index is notably superior at 62.04, showcasing his effectiveness on grass. The slight difference in their mean serve indices is negligible (Zverev at 96.70), and both players have similar return indices, with Zverev at 87.94. In their recent performances, Zverev has been dominant, winning all three of his last matches, including a tough contest against Lorenzo Sonego, which required three sets, underscoring his resilience.

Final Prediction

Zverev's higher ranking, better form index, and superior surface strength provide him with a significant edge going into this semifinal. A key factor to monitor will be how both players manage their fatigue levels, especially Zverev, given his longer match durations in the tournament. The ability to execute under pressure will likely determine the match's outcome.

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