Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 64

Fabian Marozsan vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

Fabian Marozsan

Rank: #61
38%
VS

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #17
62%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Andrey Rublev

Player Metrics

Fabian Marozsan

Form Index: 46.3
ELO Rating: 1276.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1606.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 87.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.2
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 87.7

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 29.9
ELO Rating: 2537.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1907.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.9
Clay: 25.1
Grass: 29.6
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 87.5

Recent Matches

Fabian Marozsan

  • Last Match: vs Joao Fonseca (2-0) clay Rome 87 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (0-2) clay Madrid 115 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) clay Munich 91 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Zizou Bergs (2-0) clay Munich 99 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-0) clay Munich 83 min

Andrey Rublev

  • Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (1-2) clay Madrid 82 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) clay Barcelona 114 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (2-0) clay Barcelona 64 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Arthur Fils (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 61 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Gael Monfils (2-0) clay Monte Carlo 103 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Fabian Marozsan
vs
2
Andrey Rublev
Hard
1 - 1
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Fabian Marozsan and Andrey Rublev is set to take place in Rome during the Round of 64 stage on clay, as part of a Masters 1000 tournament. Based on the analysis, Andrey Rublev is predicted to win, with a probability of 62.26%, while Fabian Marozsan has a 37.74% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 24.

Match Analysis

Fabian Marozsan currently holds a ranking of 61, with a form index of 46.27 and an Elo rating of 1276.84. His surface strength index stands at 9.30, indicating a less competitive edge on clay. Marozsan has shown signs of fatigue, with 87 minutes of cumulative play in the current tournament. His mean serve index of 97.18 is commendable, but he boasts a higher mean return index of 87.65. In contrast, Andrey Rublev, ranked 17, has a much higher Elo rating of 2537.29, a form index of 29.89, and a surface strength index of 25.14, indicating a stronger performance on clay. Rublev has no cumulative fatigue, having played only 82 minutes in his last match. His mean serve index is slightly lower at 96.80, but his mean return index of 87.45 is still competitive, though the difference in serve index is marginal. In their recent performances, Marozsan won his last match against Joao Fonseca in Rome, showcasing his potential, while he struggled in the two preceding matches at Madrid and Munich, losing both. Rublev, meanwhile, has faced challenges as well, with losses in his last two matches against Alexander Bublik and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, but he did secure a convincing win against Jesper de Jong prior to those defeats.

Final Prediction

Andrey Rublev's higher rank, superior Elo rating, and better surface strength index provide him with a significant advantage going into this match. The key factor to monitor will be Rublev's ability to maintain his energy and performance level after recent losses, while Marozsan will need to capitalize on any opportunities to exploit Rublev's vulnerabilities.