Mallorca Spain Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Arthur Rinderknech vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction

Arthur Rinderknech

Rank: #80
40%
VS

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #27
60%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranking Trends

Arthur Rinderknech

  • Current Rank: #80 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #74 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #59 (2024-12-23)
  • 9 Months Ago: #60 (2024-09-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #68 (2024-06-24)

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Current Rank: #27 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #19 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #29 (2024-12-23)
  • 9 Months Ago: #21 (2024-09-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #17 (2024-06-24)

Player Metrics

Arthur Rinderknech

Form Index: 50.2
ELO Rating: 945.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1562.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 151.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 8.4
Serve Rating: 98.0
Return Rating: 85.5

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 45.9
ELO Rating: 1440.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1666.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.1
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.7
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 85.7

Recent Matches

Arthur Rinderknech
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Damir Dzumhur (2-1) grass Mallorca 151 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) grass London 80 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Reilly Opelka (2-0) grass London 96 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ben Shelton (2-0) grass London 108 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Corentin Moutet (1-2) grass London 151 min

Felix Auger-Aliassime
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Karen Khachanov (1-2) grass Halle 100 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Laslo Djere (2-1) grass Halle 125 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) grass Stuttgart 88 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Justin Engel (2-0) grass Stuttgart 98 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-0) grass Stuttgart 77 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Arthur Rinderknech
vs
0
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The round of 16 match at the Mallorca tournament in Spain features Arthur Rinderknech facing off against Felix Auger-Aliassime on a grass surface. With a slightly higher probability of winning at 60.03%, Auger-Aliassime is favored over Rinderknech, who holds a 39.97% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is estimated to be around 24.

Match Analysis

Arthur Rinderknech, currently ranked 80, has a form index of 50.24 and an Elo rating of 945.15. He carries a cumulative fatigue of 151 minutes from the current tournament, indicating a level of wear that could impact his performance. His surface strength index stands at 8.39, showcasing some ability on grass, while his mean serve index of 98.02 suggests he can deliver strong serves. However, his mean return index of 85.54 is slightly lower than Auger-Aliassime's, indicating a weakness in returning serves. Felix Auger-Aliassime, ranked 27, demonstrates a better recent form with a form index of 45.92 and an Elo rating of 1440.12. He enters this match with no cumulative fatigue from the tournament, which could provide him with a significant advantage. His surface strength index is notably higher at 12.71, and he has a mean serve index of 96.36. Although his mean return index of 85.71 is marginally higher than Rinderknech's, the difference is not substantial enough to critically affect the match dynamics. In their recent performances, Rinderknech has shown resilience, having won against Damir Dzumhur but lost to Carlos Alcaraz. Conversely, Auger-Aliassime's recent form has been mixed, with one win against Laslo Djere but losses to both Khachanov and Fritz.

Final Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime's edge lies in his higher ranking, lower fatigue levels, and greater surface strength index, which should translate into a more consistent performance on grass. A key factor to observe will be the effectiveness of Auger-Aliassime's serve against Rinderknech's return game, as this could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.