Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Dino Prizmic: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model's edge for Auger-Aliassime comes mainly from overall strength and serve & return metrics, supplemented by recent results at this level and a better fit to grass. Auger-Aliassime’s credentials show the gap: world No. 4 with an Elo of 1816.56 and a form index of 55.87, compared with Prizmic at No. 88, Elo 1758.31 and form 59.46. Surface strength favors Auger-Aliassime (29.63 vs 10.39), which aligns with the model adding +4.1 percentage points for surface fit. Both players have high serve indices (Felix 98.04, Prizmic 95.64) and strong return scores (92.59 vs 89.41); neither margin exceeds 5 points, so serving and returning are competitive on paper, but the model still awards a 9.7-point edge overall to Auger-Aliassime’s serve/return package. Fatigue is identical on the numbers (174 minutes each), so conditioning from time on court won’t be a differentiator. Recent form: Auger-Aliassime is 2-1 in his last three matches, highlighted by a straight-sets win over Aleksandr Shevchenko at Wimbledon but a loss to Frances Tiafoe at Halle. Prizmic has a 1-2 record in his last three, advancing here by beating Adam Walton but coming off two prior defeats. Age marginally favors Prizmic in the model (+3.0 points toward him), but that is outweighed by Felix’s superior overall package.