Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 16

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #13
45%
VS

Lorenzo Musetti

Rank: #9
55%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Musetti

Player Metrics

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 69.5
ELO Rating: 1598.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1693.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 185.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.4
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.0
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 85.7

Lorenzo Musetti

Form Index: 60.5
ELO Rating: 2134.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1730.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 218.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.5
Clay: 24.0
Grass: 22.2
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 88.0

Recent Matches

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (2-0) hard Shanghai 100 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alejandro Tabilo (2-0) hard Shanghai 85 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min

Lorenzo Musetti

  • Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (2-0) hard Shanghai 131 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (2-0) hard Shanghai 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Learner Tien (1-2) hard Beijing 101 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (2-0) hard Beijing 84 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-1) hard Beijing 144 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Felix Auger-Aliassime
vs
1
Lorenzo Musetti
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Round of 16 match at the Masters 1000 tournament in Shanghai features Felix Auger-Aliassime facing off against Lorenzo Musetti. With both players competing on a hard court, the prediction leans towards Musetti, who holds a 55.08% chance of winning compared to Auger-Aliassime's 44.92%. The anticipated total number of games played is projected to be 23.

Match Analysis

Felix Auger-Aliassime, currently ranked 13th, showcases a form index of 69.53 and an Elo rating of 1598.33. His cumulative fatigue is at 185 minutes, suggesting he has a moderate level of exertion from previous matches. His surface strength index is 14.37, indicating a solid performance on hard courts. In contrast, Lorenzo Musetti, ranked 9th, possesses a higher Elo rating of 2134.47 and a form index of 60.52, although he has a slightly higher fatigue level at 218 minutes. Musetti's surface strength index is at 12.48, indicating comparable prowess on hard surfaces. Notably, Auger-Aliassime boasts a higher mean serve index of 97.29 compared to Musetti’s 95.36, a difference of nearly 2 points, while Musetti leads in return with an 87.96 index over Auger-Aliassime's 85.75. Examining their recent performances, Auger-Aliassime has won his last two matches convincingly against Jesper de Jong and Alejandro Tabilo, both in straight sets. Conversely, Musetti has also secured victories in his last two matches, defeating Luciano Darderi and Francisco Comesana, both without dropping a set. However, Musetti's performance included a loss in the previous tournament against Learner Tien, showcasing some inconsistency that may affect his momentum.

Final Prediction

Lorenzo Musetti's slight edge in Elo rating and superior return game gives him an advantage heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be how effectively each player can capitalize on their service games, particularly given Auger-Aliassime's strong serve against Musetti's return capabilities. The matchup promises to be competitive, with both players capable of delivering high-quality tennis.