Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchaga: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Auger-Aliassime arrives with the clear ranking and Elo advantage: world No. 5 with an Elo of 1774.22 versus Burruchaga at No. 66 with an Elo of 1612.50. Their form indices are almost identical (Auger-Aliassime 43.07, Burruchaga 43.35) and both carry the same cumulative fatigue (174 minutes on court in the tournament), but Félix’s surface strength index (29.08) is noticeably higher than Burruchaga’s (18.57), giving him more proven traction on clay. Serve and return profiles are close — Félix’s mean serve index is 96.79 to Burruchaga’s 93.76, and returns sit at 89.43 versus 90.60 — so the edge comes more from ranking, Elo and clay comfort than any glaring serving mismatch. Recent results underline the contrast in consistency. Félix edged a five-set win over Daniel Altmaier at Roland Garros (3-2, 174 minutes), bookended by a solid win over Vit Kopriva and a loss to Aleksandar Kovacevic in Hamburg. Burruchaga’s banner result is a straight-through upset of Sebastián Báez at Roland Garros (3-1, 174 minutes), but his prior two outings were straight-set defeats in Rome and Hamburg. In short, Burruchaga can produce high-level wins but has been less consistent across events, while Félix combines higher-level pedigree with a steadier clay profile.