Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Flavio Cobolli vs Fabian Marozsan Prediction

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #18
52%
VS

Fabian Marozsan

Rank: #54
48%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Flavio Cobolli

Player Metrics

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 61.1
ELO Rating: 1417.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1664.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 148.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 13.1
Grass: 11.6
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 88.3

Fabian Marozsan

Form Index: 53.3
ELO Rating: 1284.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1613.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 164.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.1
Clay: 10.0
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Flavio Cobolli

  • Last Match: vs Alexis Galarneau (2-1) hard Toronto 148 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (0-2) hard Washington 72 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Yoshihito Nishioka (2-0) hard Washington 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Marin Cilic (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Fabian Marozsan

  • Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (2-0) hard Toronto 101 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Hugo Dellien (2-0) hard Toronto 63 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (0-2) hard Washington 73 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Benjamin Bonzi (2-0) hard Washington 77 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Flavio Cobolli
vs
0
Fabian Marozsan
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Toronto Masters 1000 tournament, Flavio Cobolli is set to face Fabian Marozsan on hard courts in Canada. The match is expected to be closely contested with Cobolli slightly favored to win, having a probability of 52.15% compared to Marozsan's 47.85%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Flavio Cobolli currently holds a rank of 18, which gives him a significant advantage over Marozsan, who is ranked 54. Cobolli's form index stands at 61.13, reflecting a solid level of performance, while Marozsan's form index is slightly lower at 53.26. In terms of Elo ratings, Cobolli is rated at 1417.75, while Marozsan's rating is at 1284.21, further indicating Cobolli's edge. On the fatigue front, Cobolli has accumulated 148 minutes on court, whereas Marozsan's fatigue level is slightly higher at 164 minutes. This may play a role in their endurance during the match. Notably, Cobolli showcases a superior mean serve index of 96.75 compared to Marozsan's 95.51, although the difference does not exceed 5 points. The mean return indices are also closely matched, with Cobolli at 88.28 and Marozsan at 87.31. In their recent performances, Cobolli won his last match against Alexis Galarneau after a challenging 148-minute battle, but prior to that, he faced a loss against Frances Tiafoe. His victory against Yoshihito Nishioka indicates he has the ability to perform well under pressure. On the other hand, Marozsan has shown strong form in Toronto, winning both of his last matches against Felix Auger-Aliassime and Hugo Dellien convincingly, although he did suffer a loss to Gabriel Diallo in Washington.

Final Prediction

Cobolli's higher ranking, combined with a better Elo rating and a solid mean serve index, gives him a slight edge heading into this match against Marozsan. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Cobolli's serve, as maintaining a high level in this area could prove crucial in determining the match's outcome.