Halle Germany Grass Atp 500 Round of 32

Joao Fonseca vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Joao Fonseca

Rank: #57
49%
VS

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #24
51%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Flavio Cobolli

Player Metrics

Joao Fonseca

Form Index: 60.1
ELO Rating: 1194.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1648.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.5
Clay: 9.1
Grass: 4.1
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 87.1

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 73.1
ELO Rating: 1418.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1624.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 13.1
Grass: 12.2
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 88.1

Recent Matches

Joao Fonseca

  • Last Match: vs Jack Draper (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Hubert Hurkacz (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Fabian Marozsan (0-2) clay Rome 87 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (0-2) clay Madrid 125 min

Flavio Cobolli

  • Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Marin Cilic (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (2-0) clay Hamburg 88 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-1) clay Hamburg 167 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Joao Fonseca
vs
0
Flavio Cobolli
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Joao Fonseca and Flavio Cobolli at the Halle tournament in Germany promises to be an engaging contest in the Round of 32 on grass. With a slight edge, Cobolli is predicted to emerge victorious, holding a probability of 51.36% compared to Fonseca's 48.64%. The anticipated total number of games played is projected to be around 23.

Match Analysis

Joao Fonseca, currently ranked 57th, has a form index of 60.11 and an Elo rating of 1193.98. His performance on grass shows a surface strength index of 4.10, which suggests he might struggle on this particular surface compared to Cobolli. In contrast, Flavio Cobolli, ranked 24th, boasts a higher form index of 73.12 and an Elo rating of 1418.78, indicating he has been in better form overall. Cobolli's surface strength index of 12.17 further highlights his suitability for grass, making him a formidable opponent in this match. Both players exhibit similar mean serve indices, with Fonseca at 96.00 and Cobolli at 95.45, but Fonseca's mean return index of 87.10 gives him a slight edge in return game quality, compared to Cobolli's 88.13. In their last three matches, Fonseca's performance has been mixed, with a recent loss to Jack Draper in the Round of 32 at Roland Garros, failing to win a set. However, he did secure victories against Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Hubert Hurkacz in earlier rounds. Cobolli's recent record mirrors this pattern, losing to Alexander Zverev but securing wins against Matteo Arnaldi and Marin Cilic in his prior matches. The consistency in Cobolli's form, particularly on clay, suggests he could transition his game effectively to grass.

Final Prediction

Flavio Cobolli's slight edge in overall performance metrics and surface strength gives him the upper hand in this matchup against Joao Fonseca. A key factor to observe will be how each player adapts their playing style to the grass surface, as this could significantly influence the outcome of the match.