Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 64

Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #34
50%
VS

Matteo Arnaldi

Rank: #37
50%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Matteo Arnaldi

Player Metrics

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 74.6
ELO Rating: 1257.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1603.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 11.7
Grass: 12.0
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 88.3

Matteo Arnaldi

Form Index: 63.5
ELO Rating: 1412.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1640.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.0
Clay: 12.8
Grass: 11.8
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 88.1

Recent Matches

Flavio Cobolli

  • Last Match: vs Marin Cilic (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-1) clay Hamburg 167 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Roberto Bautista Agut (2-0) clay Hamburg 84 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2-0) clay Hamburg 106 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Vitaliy Sachko (2-1) clay Hamburg 157 min

Matteo Arnaldi

  • Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (0-2) clay Geneva 99 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) clay Geneva 112 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Hugo Gaston (2-1) clay Geneva 144 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Roberto Bautista Agut (0-2) clay Rome 114 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Flavio Cobolli
vs
0
Matteo Arnaldi
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at Roland Garros will see Flavio Cobolli facing off against Matteo Arnaldi in the Round of 64 on the clay surface. With both players having similar probabilities of winning—49.53% for Cobolli and 50.47% for Arnaldi—the predicted total number of games played is estimated at 36.

Match Analysis

Flavio Cobolli is currently ranked 34 with a form index of 74.58 and an Elo rating of 1257. His cumulative fatigue of 174 minutes indicates he has been active in this tournament. Cobolli’s surface strength index stands at 11.74, while his mean serve index is notably strong at 97.11, suggesting he poses a formidable serve. Meanwhile, Matteo Arnaldi is ranked 37, with a lower form index of 63.51 and a higher Elo rating of 1412. He shares the same fatigue level but has a slightly better surface strength index at 12.80. The difference in their mean serve indices, with Cobolli surpassing Arnaldi by over 1.5 points, is not significant enough to indicate a clear serving advantage. In their recent performances, Cobolli has won all of his last three matches, including a decisive victory over Marin Cilic at Roland Garros where he won all sets. Arnaldi, on the other hand, has had mixed results, winning his last match against Felix Auger-Aliassime but losing to Novak Djokovic in the previous round. Despite Arnaldi’s lower recent form, his ability to secure wins against tough opponents demonstrates his resilience.

Final Prediction

Matteo Arnaldi is predicted to edge out Flavio Cobolli due to his slightly better Elo rating and recent experience against higher-ranked players. A key factor to watch will be the performance of each player's serve, particularly how Cobolli's strong serve translates against Arnaldi’s return game on the clay surface.