Flavio Cobolli vs Roberto Bautista Agut Prediction

Flavio Cobolli, currently ranked 34, has a form index of 52.54 and an Elo rating of 1215.42, indicating a strong competitive edge. His cumulative fatigue stands at 263 minutes, which is relatively high for this stage of the tournament. In contrast, Roberto Bautista Agut, ranked 56, has a slightly better form index of 56.21 and an Elo rating of 1123.99. His fatigue level is lower at 183 minutes. The surface strength index favors Cobolli (11.50) over Bautista Agut (9.75), suggesting Cobolli is better suited to perform on clay. Notably, Cobolli has a mean serve index of 97.18 compared to Bautista Agut's 95.61, which is a difference of more than 5 points, indicating Cobolli's serve may pose a significant threat. However, their mean return indices are close, with Cobolli at 88.31 and Bautista Agut at 87.40. Analyzing their recent performances, Cobolli has shown resilience, winning his last two matches in Hamburg convincingly against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Vitaliy Sachko, with the latter being a more extended contest lasting 157 minutes. However, he did experience a setback in Rome against Luca Nardi. On the other hand, Bautista Agut has been in solid form, securing victories in his last two matches, including a dominant performance against Frances Tiafoe. Nevertheless, his loss to Tommy Paul in Rome indicates some vulnerability.