Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 32

Frances Tiafoe vs Jan-Lennard Struff Prediction

Frances Tiafoe

Rank: #17
64%
VS

Jan-Lennard Struff

Rank: #145
36%
Predicted Games Played: 39.0
Predicted Winner: Frances Tiafoe

Player Metrics

Frances Tiafoe

Form Index: 75.0
ELO Rating: 1570.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1718.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.5
Clay: 14.4
Grass: 19.7
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 86.9

Jan-Lennard Struff

Form Index: 88.6
ELO Rating: 1184.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1643.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 870.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.2
Clay: 10.3
Grass: 12.2
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 85.1

Recent Matches

Frances Tiafoe

  • Last Match: vs Martin Damm (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Yoshihito Nishioka (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Cincinnati 72 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-0) hard Cincinnati 83 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Roberto Carballes Baena (2-0) hard Cincinnati 90 min

Jan-Lennard Struff

  • Last Match: vs Holger Rune (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Mackenzie McDonald (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Taro Daniel (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Clement Chidekh (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Frances Tiafoe
vs
0
Jan-Lennard Struff
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the US Open, Frances Tiafoe, currently ranked 17, faces off against Jan-Lennard Struff, who holds a rank of 145. The match takes place on hard courts in New York, a surface that typically favors Tiafoe's playstyle. The predicted winner is Frances Tiafoe, with a probability of 63.81% to win, while Jan-Lennard Struff has a 36.19% chance. The expected total number of games played is 39.

Match Analysis

Frances Tiafoe comes into this match with a solid form index of 75.04 and an Elo rating of 1570.3, indicating strong recent performances. His cumulative fatigue stands at 348 minutes, suggesting he is relatively fresh compared to Struff. Tiafoe's surface strength index of 13.47 and mean serve index of 97.08 highlight his proficiency on hard courts, which is crucial for his game strategy. In contrast, Jan-Lennard Struff, with a form index of 88.56 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 1184.4, has shown resilience in recent matches. However, his cumulative fatigue is notably higher at 870 minutes, possibly impacting his performance. Both players have similar mean return indices, but Tiafoe's superior mean serve index (a difference of over 5 points) may provide him an edge in service games. Over their last three matches, Tiafoe has demonstrated solid form, winning two out of three matches, including two straight-set victories in the tournament thus far. Struff also has shown strong performance, winning all three of his recent matches, but the level of competition he faced was less formidable than Tiafoe's. Struff's victories have been hard-fought, often going the distance, which could exacerbate his fatigue levels.

Final Prediction

Frances Tiafoe holds a distinct advantage in both serve effectiveness and recent performance, positioning him as the likely victor in this matchup. The key factor to watch will be Tiafoe's ability to capitalize on service games, which could heavily influence the match's outcome.