Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Round of 32

Pedro Martinez vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction

Pedro Martinez

Rank: #49
28%
VS

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank: #18
72%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Francisco Cerundolo

Player Metrics

Pedro Martinez

Form Index: 34.8
ELO Rating: 1110.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1558.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 9.7
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 88.5

Francisco Cerundolo

Form Index: 53.6
ELO Rating: 1851.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1733.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.8
Clay: 15.5
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 89.1

Recent Matches

Pedro Martinez

  • Last Match: vs Hubert Hurkacz (0-2) clay Rome 83 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Mattia Bellucci (2-0) clay Rome 92 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (0-2) clay Madrid 108 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Arthur Fils (0-2) clay Barcelona 68 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (2-1) clay Barcelona 198 min

Francisco Cerundolo

  • Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) clay Rome 137 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (2-0) clay Rome 76 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Nicolas Jarry (2-0) clay Rome 117 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) clay Madrid 114 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (2-1) clay Madrid 131 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Pedro Martinez
vs
1
Francisco Cerundolo
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Hamburg tournament, held on clay courts in Germany, Pedro Martinez faces Francisco Cerundolo. Given the players' current form and performance metrics, Francisco Cerundolo is predicted to win with a probability of 72.30%, while Pedro Martinez has a 27.70% chance of victory. The match is anticipated to feature a total of approximately 22 games played.

Match Analysis

Francisco Cerundolo, currently ranked 18th, holds a notable advantage over Pedro Martinez, who is ranked 49th. Cerundolo's form index of 53.60 and Elo rating of 1851.65 indicate a strong competitive edge compared to Martinez's form index of 34.79 and Elo rating of 1110.08. On the fatigue front, both players start fresh with a cumulative fatigue of 0 minutes, which is crucial for maintaining energy levels throughout the match. Cerundolo's surface strength index of 15.46 also surpasses Martinez's 9.39, highlighting his proficiency on clay. When examining their serve and return capabilities, Cerundolo exhibits a slight edge in both metrics, with a mean serve index of 95.83 and a mean return index of 89.14, compared to Martinez's 96.43 and 88.54, respectively. Although the differences in serve and return indices do not exceed 5 points, they nevertheless suggest a closely matched exchange, but Cerundolo’s overall strength on clay may prove decisive. Recent performances indicate that both players have experienced ups and downs, with Cerundolo winning 2 of his last 3 matches while Martinez has only secured 1 victory in that same span.

Final Prediction

Cerundolo's superior ranking, form, and surface strength position him as the favorite in this matchup. A key factor to observe will be how effectively both players can capitalize on their serve and return games, as these elements could significantly influence the match's outcome.