Winston Salem NC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 250 Round of 64

Francisco Comesana vs Mattia Bellucci Prediction

Francisco Comesana

Rank: #71
49%
VS

Mattia Bellucci

Rank: #74
51%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Mattia Bellucci

Player Metrics

Francisco Comesana

Form Index: 45.8
ELO Rating: 872.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1576.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.1
Clay: 7.0
Grass: 5.8
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 87.6

Mattia Bellucci

Form Index: 37.7
ELO Rating: 781.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1535.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.9
Clay: 5.7
Grass: 7.0
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 86.3

Recent Matches

Francisco Comesana

  • Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) hard Cincinnati 64 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (2-1) hard Cincinnati 188 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-0) hard Cincinnati 105 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) hard Toronto 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (2-0) hard Toronto 86 min

Mattia Bellucci

  • Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (0-2) hard Cincinnati 143 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Hugo Gaston (1-2) hard Toronto 115 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jiri Lehecka (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Oliver Crawford (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Francisco Comesana
vs
0
Mattia Bellucci
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Winston-Salem tournament, held on hard courts in North Carolina, Francisco Comesana will face off against Mattia Bellucci. With a slight edge in the probabilities, Bellucci is predicted to win with a 51.46% chance, while Comesana's probability stands at 48.54%. The match is anticipated to be competitive, with a total of approximately 23 games expected to be played.

Match Analysis

Francisco Comesana, currently ranked 71, boasts a form index of 45.75 and an Elo rating of 872.77. His performance on hard surfaces is solid, reflected in a surface strength index of 6.10. He has demonstrated strong serving capabilities with a mean serve index of 97.32 and a mean return index of 87.64. On the other hand, Mattia Bellucci, ranked 74, has a lower form index of 37.65 and an Elo rating of 781.66. His surface strength index is slightly better at 6.91, while his mean serve index is 95.99 and mean return index is 86.29. The difference in their mean serve indices (over 5 points) suggests Comesana's serve is a significant advantage, though both players' return capabilities are closely matched. In their recent performances, Comesana has recorded two wins and one loss in his last three matches, showing resilience, especially with a notable victory against Reilly Opelka. However, Bellucci has struggled, losing all three of his last matches, including a recent encounter with Damir Dzumhur and two other challenging opponents. Both players are entering the match without fatigue, which may level the playing field.

Final Prediction

Despite Comesana's stronger serve and recent victories, Bellucci's slight edge in surface performance and overall win probability could prove decisive. A key factor to monitor will be how effectively each player capitalizes on service games, particularly Comesana's ability to leverage his superior serving capability against Bellucci's return game.