Winston Salem NC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Hamad Medjedovic vs Jacob Fearnley Prediction

Hamad Medjedovic

Rank: #72
61%
VS

Jacob Fearnley

Rank: #57
39%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Hamad Medjedovic

Ranking Trends

Hamad Medjedovic

  • Current Rank: #72 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #77 (2025-05-19)
  • 6 Months Ago: #73 (2025-02-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #113 (2024-11-18)
  • 12 Months Ago: #137 (2024-08-19)

Jacob Fearnley

  • Current Rank: #57 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #54 (2025-05-19)
  • 6 Months Ago: #81 (2025-02-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #89 (2024-11-18)
  • 12 Months Ago: #159 (2024-08-19)

Player Metrics

Hamad Medjedovic

Form Index: 48.7
ELO Rating: 955.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1600.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 127.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.1
Clay: 7.0
Grass: 4.8
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 85.9

Jacob Fearnley

Form Index: 19.3
ELO Rating: 906.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1532.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.3
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 6.1
Serve Rating: 94.6
Return Rating: 88.9

Recent Matches

Hamad Medjedovic
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Rinderknech (2-0) hard Winston Salem 127 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) hard Cincinnati 95 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-0) hard Cincinnati 100 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-0) hard Cincinnati 62 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Ofner (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Jacob Fearnley
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Zizou Bergs (0-2) hard Cincinnati 80 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Juan Pablo Ficovich (0-2) hard Toronto 70 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Joao Fonseca (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Marcos Giron (0-2) grass Eastbourne 63 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Flavio Cobolli (2-0) grass Eastbourne 65 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Hamad Medjedovic
vs
0
Jacob Fearnley
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 32 match at the Winston-Salem tournament features Hamad Medjedovic against Jacob Fearnley on hard court. Medjedovic is predicted to win with a probability of 61.43%, while Fearnley has a 38.57% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games played is set at 22.

Match Analysis

Hamad Medjedovic, currently ranked 72, boasts a form index of 48.75 and an Elo rating of approximately 956. His fatigue level is relatively high at 127 minutes, reflecting a demanding tournament run. Medjedovic's surface strength index is strong at 10.06, complemented by a mean serve index of 97.40 and a mean return index of 85.94. In comparison, Jacob Fearnley, ranked 57, has a considerably lower form index of 19.31 and an Elo rating of around 906. Fearnley exhibits no fatigue due to having played fewer minutes (0) in the current tournament. His surface strength index is lower at 6.31, with a mean serve index of 94.62 and a mean return index of 88.87. Notably, Medjedovic’s mean serve index is over 5 points higher than Fearnley's, indicating a potential advantage in service games. In their last three matches, Medjedovic has shown a mixed performance, with a recent win against Arthur Rinderknech, and losses to top players like Carlos Alcaraz. Fearnley, on the other hand, has struggled significantly, losing all three of his recent matches, including defeats against Zizou Bergs and Juan Pablo Ficovich. This trend suggests that Fearnley is currently out of form, while Medjedovic’s recent victory may boost his confidence heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Medjedovic's higher ranking, superior serve index, and recent win provide him with a competitive edge against Fearnley, who is grappling with form issues. A key factor to observe will be Medjedovic's ability to leverage his strong serve, as this could dictate the flow of the match and impact his chances of advancing in the tournament.