Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Roberto Bautista Agut vs Holger Rune Prediction

Roberto Bautista Agut

Rank: #56
28%
VS

Holger Rune

Rank: #10
72%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Holger Rune

Player Metrics

Roberto Bautista Agut

Form Index: 49.0
ELO Rating: 1106.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1584.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.9
Clay: 9.6
Grass: 9.4
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 87.5

Holger Rune

Form Index: 45.8
ELO Rating: 2513.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1849.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.2
Clay: 20.7
Grass: 24.0
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 85.2

Recent Matches

Roberto Bautista Agut

  • Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (0-2) clay Hamburg 84 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (2-0) clay Hamburg 86 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (2-0) clay Hamburg 97 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (0-2) clay Rome 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) clay Rome 114 min

Holger Rune

  • Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (1-2) clay Rome 224 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (2-1) clay Rome 177 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (0-1) clay Madrid 43 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (2-0) clay Barcelona 100 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (2-0) clay Barcelona 67 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Roberto Bautista Agut
vs
1
Holger Rune
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at Roland Garros 2025, Roberto Bautista Agut is set to face Holger Rune on the clay courts of France. Rune is favored to win, with a probability of 71.75%, compared to Bautista Agut's 28.25%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 36.

Match Analysis

Roberto Bautista Agut currently holds a rank of 56 with a form index of 49.05 and an Elo rating of 1106.87. His surface strength index of 9.64 suggests he struggles on clay, although he has shown resilience in his recent matches. Bautista Agut's mean serve index stands at 97.02, while his mean return index is 87.52. In contrast, Holger Rune is ranked 10th with a higher form index of 45.84 and an Elo rating of 2513.19, indicating a significant disparity in skill levels. Rune's surface strength index is notably higher at 20.69, which enhances his capability on clay. Although Bautista Agut has a marginally better mean serve index, Rune's mean return index of 85.15 is competitive, but it does not exceed Bautista Agut's by more than 5 points. In their last three matches, Bautista Agut's performance shows mixed results; he won against Frances Tiafoe but lost to Flavio Cobolli, indicating some inconsistency. Rune, on the other hand, has struggled recently, losing to Corentin Moutet in a closely contested match but secured a victory over Francisco Comesana. However, his recent form, despite setbacks, is better than Bautista Agut's overall performance, reflecting in their respective form indices.

Final Prediction

Holger Rune's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and better surface strength index position him as the stronger player in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Rune's ability to capitalize on Bautista Agut's recent inconsistency, particularly in crucial moments during the match.