Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Hugo Gaston vs Ugo Blanchet Prediction

Hugo Gaston

Rank: #78
60%
VS

Ugo Blanchet

Rank: #186
40%
Expected Total Games: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Hugo Gaston

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Ranking Trends

Hugo Gaston

  • Current #78 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #92 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #76 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #63 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #88 2024-05-27

Ugo Blanchet

  • Current #186 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #158 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #221 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #148 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #160 2024-05-27

Player Metrics

Hugo Gaston

Form Index: 23.7
ELO Rating: 707.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1552.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.5
Clay: 7.1
Grass: 6.2
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 89.5

Ugo Blanchet

Form Index: 73.6
ELO Rating: 345.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1534.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.8
Clay: 4.8
Grass: 2.4
Serve Rating: 94.2
Return Rating: 86.1

Recent Matches

Hugo Gaston
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

Ugo Blanchet
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lukas Klein (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Cristian Garin (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Chris Rodesch (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Filip Misolic (0-2) clay Bucharest 66 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Cezar Cretu (2-0) clay Bucharest 110 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Hugo Gaston
vs
0
Ugo Blanchet
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Hugo Gaston and Ugo Blanchet at Roland Garros promises to be an exciting encounter on the clay surface, as both players aim to advance in this prestigious grand slam tournament. Gaston is predicted to emerge victorious with a probability of 60.41%, while Blanchet has a 39.59% chance of winning. The match is expected to feature around 37 total games.

Match Analysis

Hugo Gaston, currently ranked 78 with a form index of 23.70, has struggled recently, losing his last three matches, including two on clay surfaces. His Elo rating stands at 707.16, and he maintains a surface strength index of 7.11, indicating his capability on clay. Despite his recent performances, Gaston’s mean serve index is 96.70, and his mean return index is 89.51, providing him with a slight edge in serving and returning when compared to Blanchet. On the other hand, Ugo Blanchet, ranked 186, exhibits a much better form index of 73.56 after winning his last three matches at Roland Garros, all convincingly in straight sets. His Elo rating is significantly lower at 345.66, and he has a surface strength index of 4.78. Although Blanchet's mean serve index of 94.21 and return index of 86.13 are competitive, he trails Gaston in both metrics, particularly the serve index, which highlights a difference of over 5 points.

Final Prediction

Hugo Gaston holds an advantage due to his stronger service and return capabilities, despite his recent form not reflecting his potential on clay. A key factor to watch during the match will be Gaston's ability to regain his rhythm and capitalize on Blanchet's relatively lower surface strength, which could ultimately determine the outcome of this round of 128 clash.

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