Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 64

Gael Monfils vs Jack Draper Prediction

Gael Monfils

Rank: #43
31%
VS

Jack Draper

Rank: #5
69%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Jack Draper

Player Metrics

Gael Monfils

Form Index: 55.3
ELO Rating: 1435.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1622.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.8
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 9.2
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 85.8

Jack Draper

Form Index: 69.9
ELO Rating: 2752.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1691.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 23.3
Clay: 20.9
Grass: 23.1
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 87.5

Recent Matches

Gael Monfils

  • Last Match: vs Hugo Dellien (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) clay Hamburg 83 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Borna Gojo (2-1) clay Madrid 102 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 103 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Fabian Marozsan (2-1) clay Monte Carlo 102 min

Jack Draper

  • Last Match: vs Mattia Bellucci (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) clay Rome 97 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (2-1) clay Rome 140 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Vit Kopriva (2-0) clay Rome 101 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (2-0) clay Rome 78 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Gael Monfils
vs
0
Jack Draper
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at Roland Garros 2025, Gael Monfils takes on Jack Draper on the clay courts of France. With a predicted winner of Jack Draper, he holds a 69.45% probability of victory compared to Monfils' 30.55%. The expected match duration is approximately 37 games.

Match Analysis

Gael Monfils is currently ranked 43rd, showing a form index of 55.31 and an Elo rating of 1435.94. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament is 174 minutes, indicating a potential impact on his performance. Monfils possesses a surface strength index of 8.66, which reflects his struggles on clay, while his mean serve index of 97.24 is impressive. However, his mean return index of 85.84 falls short compared to Draper. Jack Draper, on the other hand, is ranked 5th with a much higher form index of 69.90 and an Elo rating of 2752.66. Draper's fatigue is also at 174 minutes, but his surface strength index is significantly better at 20.94, showcasing his adaptability to clay. Additionally, his mean serve index of 95.85 is close to Monfils', but his mean return index of 87.55 gives him a solid advantage, exceeding Monfils' by more than 5 points. In their recent performances, Monfils has had a mixed bag: he won against Hugo Dellien after a tough five-set match, but suffered a defeat to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina just prior. Draper, conversely, is coming off a solid victory over Mattia Bellucci, though he faced a setback against Carlos Alcaraz. His win against Corentin Moutet in Rome further emphasizes his competitive edge heading into this matchup.

Final Prediction

Jack Draper appears to have a distinct advantage due to his superior ranking, form, and mean return index. His recent performance solidifies his status as the favored player in this encounter. A key factor to monitor will be Draper's ability to capitalize on Monfils' weaker return game, which could significantly influence the match's outcome.