Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 32

Jack Draper vs Vit Kopriva Prediction

Jack Draper

Rank: #5
69%
VS

Vit Kopriva

Rank: #92
31%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Jack Draper

Player Metrics

Jack Draper

Form Index: 59.1
ELO Rating: 2749.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1677.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 78.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 23.3
Clay: 20.9
Grass: 23.0
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 87.5

Vit Kopriva

Form Index: 60.1
ELO Rating: 640.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1581.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 488.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.0
Clay: 5.8
Grass: 5.2
Serve Rating: 94.6
Return Rating: 89.4

Recent Matches

Jack Draper

  • Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (2-0) clay Rome 78 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (1-2) clay Madrid 149 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-0) clay Madrid 117 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (1-0) clay Madrid 77 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (2-0) clay Madrid 68 min

Vit Kopriva

  • Last Match: vs Sebastian Baez (2-1) clay Rome 152 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Quentin Halys (2-0) clay Rome 93 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Nishesh Basavareddy (2-0) clay Rome 92 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Dalibor Svrcina (2-1) clay Rome 151 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tallon Griekspoor (0-2) clay Madrid 72 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Jack Draper
vs
0
Vit Kopriva
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Masters 1000 event in Rome, Jack Draper is set to face Vit Kopriva on clay courts. The predicted winner is Jack Draper, with a win probability of 68.67%, while Vit Kopriva's chance stands at 31.33%. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Jack Draper, currently ranked 5th, exhibits a strong form index of 59.12 and a substantially higher Elo rating of 2749.59 compared to Vit Kopriva, who ranks 92nd with an Elo rating of 640.62. Draper's fatigue level is notably lower at 78.0 minutes on court, while Kopriva has accumulated 488.0 minutes, indicating potential stamina issues. Draper's surface strength index of 20.88 is significantly superior to Kopriva's 5.83, showcasing his adaptability on clay. Additionally, Draper's mean serve index of 97.35 exceeds Kopriva's 94.64 by more than 5 points, suggesting a more formidable serve. Although Kopriva's mean return index of 89.38 is slightly better than Draper's 87.52, the overall metrics heavily favor Draper. In their recent performances, Draper has won two out of his last three matches, with a notable victory against Luciano Darderi in Rome, where he won in straight sets. However, he suffered a loss against Casper Ruud in Madrid, which might affect his momentum slightly. On the other hand, Vit Kopriva has shown resilience by winning all three of his last matches in Rome, including a hard-fought victory over Sebastian Baez. Despite this, his recent match durations suggest he might be feeling the effects of fatigue.

Final Prediction

Jack Draper's advantages in rank, surface strength, and serve quality give him a considerable edge in this matchup against Vit Kopriva. A key factor to monitor will be how Draper's serve holds up against Kopriva's return game, especially given the fatigue levels affecting both players.