Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 64

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jan-Lennard Struff Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #28
57%
VS

Jan-Lennard Struff

Rank: #125
43%
Expected Total Games: 40.0
Predicted Winner: Felix Auger-Aliassime

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Player Metrics

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 64.0
ELO Rating: 1430.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1671.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.1
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.3
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 85.7

Jan-Lennard Struff

Form Index: 44.9
ELO Rating: 972.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1618.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.0
Clay: 11.1
Grass: 11.9
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 85.0

Recent Matches

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Jan-Lennard Struff

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Felix Auger-Aliassime
vs
1
Jan-Lennard Struff
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 64 match at Wimbledon features Felix Auger-Aliassime facing Jan-Lennard Struff on the grass courts of Great Britain. With a predicted total of 40 games, Auger-Aliassime is favored to win with a probability of 57.19%, while Struff has a 42.81% chance of victory.

Match Analysis

Felix Auger-Aliassime, ranked 28th, boasts a higher form index of 64.03 and an Elo rating of 1430.75 compared to Struff's rank of 125 and Elo rating of 972.05. Both players have the same cumulative fatigue of 174 minutes, but Auger-Aliassime's surface strength index of 12.28 slightly edges out Struff's 11.93. Notably, Auger-Aliassime possesses a significant advantage in mean serve index, with a score of 97.75 compared to Struff's 96.22, a difference greater than 5 points. Additionally, Auger-Aliassime's mean return index of 85.67 surpasses Struff's 85.03, indicating a stronger overall performance on grass. In their recent matches, Auger-Aliassime has had mixed results, winning against Hamad Medjedovic and James Duckworth but losing to Tallon Griekspoor. Struff's recent performances also show inconsistency: he won his last match against Filip Misolic but suffered defeats to Lorenzo Sonego and Jiri Lehecka in previous encounters. This contrast in recent form may play a crucial role in the upcoming match.

Final Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime's superior ranking, form, and serve capabilities provide him with a distinct advantage over Jan-Lennard Struff. A key factor to watch will be how both players handle pressure during crucial points, particularly Auger-Aliassime's ability to capitalize on his strong serve and return game.

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