Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction

Jannik Sinner

Rank: #1
83%
VS

Alexei Popyrin

Rank: #37
17%
Expected Total Games: 33.0
Predicted Winner: Jannik Sinner

Player Metrics

Jannik Sinner

Form Index: 63.8
ELO Rating: 11319.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2168.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 98.9
Clay: 97.8
Grass: 98.9
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 89.2

Alexei Popyrin

Form Index: 44.5
ELO Rating: 1455.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1632.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.6
Clay: 13.2
Grass: 13.1
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 86.6

Recent Matches

Jannik Sinner

  • Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-1) hard Cincinnati 23 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Terence Atmane (2-0) hard Cincinnati 86 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (1-0) hard Cincinnati 71 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (2-0) hard Cincinnati 108 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (2-0) hard Cincinnati 112 min

Alexei Popyrin

  • Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (1-2) hard Cincinnati 209 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Martin Landaluce (2-0) hard Cincinnati 137 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (1-2) hard Toronto 162 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Holger Rune (2-1) hard Toronto 123 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (2-1) hard Toronto 150 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jannik Sinner
vs
0
Alexei Popyrin
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Jannik Sinner and Alexei Popyrin at the US Open in New York marks a Round of 64 encounter on hard court. Sinner, currently ranked 1 in the world, is heavily favored to win this match, with a predicted probability of 83.11%, while Popyrin's chances stand at 16.89%. The anticipated total number of games played is 33.

Match Analysis

Jannik Sinner boasts a formidable rank of 1, a high form index of 63.79, and an impressive Elo rating of 11319.28. His surface strength index of 98.88 indicates exceptional performance on hard courts, complemented by a mean serve index of 97.71 and a mean return index of 89.18. In contrast, Alexei Popyrin, ranked 37, has a form index of 44.54 and a considerably lower Elo rating of 1455.67. His surface strength index is just 14.60, which highlights his relative struggles on hard courts, alongside a mean serve index of 96.38 and a mean return index of 86.64. Notably, Sinner's mean serve index exceeds Popyrin’s by over 5 points, signaling a potential advantage in service games. In recent performances, Sinner's last three matches show a mixed outcome, where he lost to Carlos Alcaraz but secured a strong win against Terence Atmane and Felix Auger-Aliassime. Popyrin, meanwhile, also faced challenges; he lost his last match against Andrey Rublev, though he did achieve a convincing victory against Martin Landaluce in the preceding match. The inconsistency in Popyrin's performances could be a critical factor as he faces one of the top players in the world.

Final Prediction

Jannik Sinner's superior ranking, form, and statistics, particularly in serve and return, provide him with a distinct edge going into the match. A key factor to watch will be Sinner's ability to leverage his strong serve against Popyrin, potentially dictating the pace and outcome of the match.

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