Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Quarterfinals

Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud Prediction

Jannik Sinner

Rank: #1
70%
VS

Casper Ruud

Rank: #7
30%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Jannik Sinner

Player Metrics

Jannik Sinner

Form Index: 74.9
ELO Rating: 11830.0
Glicko2 Rating: 2153.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 328.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 100.0
Clay: 100.0
Grass: 100.0
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 88.6

Casper Ruud

Form Index: 64.3
ELO Rating: 3682.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1803.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 273.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 22.2
Clay: 34.3
Grass: 36.9
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 85.7

Recent Matches

Jannik Sinner

  • Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (2-0) clay Rome 137 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (2-0) clay Rome 93 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (2-0) clay Rome 98 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (3-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (3-0) hard Australian Open 174 min

Casper Ruud

  • Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-0) clay Rome 97 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Matteo Berrettini (2-0) clay Rome 60 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (2-1) clay Rome 116 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jack Draper (2-1) clay Madrid 149 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (2-0) clay Madrid 114 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jannik Sinner
vs
0
Casper Ruud
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the Masters 1000 tournament in Rome, Jannik Sinner, ranked 1st, faces off against 7th-ranked Casper Ruud on clay. Sinner is favored to win with a probability of 69.51%, while Ruud stands at 30.49%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 22.

Match Analysis

Jannik Sinner brings an impressive form index of 74.90 and an Elo rating of 11830, showcasing his dominance in the tournament. His fatigue level is slightly higher at 328 minutes, but he compensates for this with a remarkable surface strength index of 100.0 and a mean serve index of 98.16. In contrast, Casper Ruud, with a form index of 64.26 and an Elo rating of 3682.18, shows solid performance but falls short in comparison to Sinner. Ruud's fatigue, at 273 minutes, is lower than Sinner's, but his surface strength index of 34.32 and mean serve index of 95.76 indicate a significant gap. Notably, Sinner's mean return index of 88.61 is also stronger than Ruud's 85.66, suggesting he may have more success in returning serves. Over their last three matches, Sinner has showcased a commanding presence, winning all three in straight sets, including a recent victory over Francisco Cerundolo, which lasted 137 minutes. Ruud has also performed well, winning all his recent matches but with slightly less dominance, as he dropped a set against Alexander Bublik in one of his encounters. This variance in match performances could play a crucial role in their upcoming clash.

Final Prediction

Jannik Sinner's superior rankings, form index, and return capabilities provide him with a distinct edge heading into this matchup. A key factor to observe will be how well Ruud can handle Sinner's powerful returns, which could determine the overall flow of the match.