Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 16

Jannik Sinner vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction

Jannik Sinner

Rank: #1
75%
VS

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank: #18
25%
Predicted Games Played: 21.0
Predicted Winner: Jannik Sinner

Player Metrics

Jannik Sinner

Form Index: 79.8
ELO Rating: 11830.0
Glicko2 Rating: 2152.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 191.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 100.0
Clay: 100.0
Grass: 100.0
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 88.6

Francisco Cerundolo

Form Index: 61.3
ELO Rating: 1851.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1733.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 193.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.8
Clay: 15.5
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 89.2

Recent Matches

Jannik Sinner

  • Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (2-0) clay Rome 93 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (2-0) clay Rome 98 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (3-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (3-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (3-0) hard Australian Open 174 min

Francisco Cerundolo

  • Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (2-0) clay Rome 76 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Nicolas Jarry (2-0) clay Rome 117 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) clay Madrid 114 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (2-1) clay Madrid 131 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (2-0) clay Madrid 89 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jannik Sinner
vs
0
Francisco Cerundolo
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 at the prestigious Masters 1000 event in Rome features a clash on clay between top seed Jannik Sinner and 18th-ranked Francisco Cerundolo. With Sinner enjoying a strong probability of winning at 75.21% compared to Cerundolo’s 24.79%, the predicted total number of games in this encounter is 21.0.

Match Analysis

Jannik Sinner currently holds the top rank and boasts an impressive form index of 79.84, indicative of his exceptional performance leading up to this match. His Elo rating of 11830 further highlights his standing in the sport. Notably, Sinner's surface strength index is a perfect 100.0, demonstrating his dominance on clay. In contrast, Francisco Cerundolo ranks 18th with a form index of 61.35 and an Elo rating of 1851. His surface strength index of 15.46 suggests he faces a significant challenge on this surface. The difference in mean serve index is marginal, with Sinner at 98.17 and Cerundolo at 95.84, while Sinner's mean return index is superior (88.58) compared to Cerundolo’s (89.17), indicating an edge in returning serves. In their recent matches, Sinner has been in formidable form, winning all three of his last encounters, including two convincing victories at the same tournament in Rome, with no sets dropped. Cerundolo also comes off three matches, winning two at the same event, but faced a loss against Casper Ruud in Madrid. His victories were solid, yet he has shown more vulnerability compared to Sinner.

Final Prediction

Jannik Sinner's top-ranking status, coupled with his flawless performance on clay, gives him a significant advantage over Francisco Cerundolo. A key factor to observe will be Sinner's return game, as his ability to neutralize Cerundolo's serve could dictate the flow of the match and potentially lead to a straightforward victory for the top seed.