London Great Britain Grass Atp 500 Round of 32

Alex de Minaur vs Jiri Lehecka Prediction

Alex de Minaur

Rank: #12
60%
VS

Jiri Lehecka

Rank: #30
40%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Alex de Minaur

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Ranking Trends

Alex de Minaur

  • Current #12 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #11 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #9 2024-12-16
  • 9 mo ago #11 2024-09-16
  • 12 mo ago #7 2024-06-17

Jiri Lehecka

  • Current #30 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #27 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #28 2024-12-16
  • 9 mo ago #36 2024-09-16
  • 12 mo ago #25 2024-06-17

Player Metrics

Alex de Minaur

Form Index: 52.0
ELO Rating: 2900.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1785.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 22.1
Clay: 27.0
Grass: 29.3
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 88.3

Jiri Lehecka

Form Index: 58.9
ELO Rating: 1875.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1676.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.7
Clay: 15.3
Grass: 16.4
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 84.7

Recent Matches

Alex de Minaur
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Bublik (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Laslo Djere (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Tommy Paul (0-2) clay Rome 114 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Hugo Dellien (2-0) clay Rome 117 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Luca Nardi (2-0) clay Rome 117 min

Jiri Lehecka
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alex de Minaur
vs
0
Jiri Lehecka
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Alex de Minaur and Jiri Lehecka is set to take place in London during the Round of 32 on grass, as part of an ATP 500 event. De Minaur is predicted to win this encounter with a probability of 59.68%, while Lehecka's chances stand at 40.32%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 22.

Match Analysis

Alex de Minaur currently holds the 12th rank, boasting a form index of 51.95 and an impressive Elo rating of 2900.50. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament is at 0, indicating that he is fresh going into this match. De Minaur has a surface strength index of 29.32, suggesting he is more proficient on grass compared to Lehecka, who has a surface strength index of 16.41. The difference in their mean serve index is minimal, with De Minaur at 95.90 and Lehecka at 96.16, showing a slight edge for Lehecka in serving. However, De Minaur’s mean return index of 88.32 significantly surpasses Lehecka's 84.73, demonstrating his superior returning capabilities. In their recent performances, De Minaur has had a mixed bag of results, losing two out of his last three matches on clay, with a notable recent defeat against Alexander Bublik. Conversely, Lehecka has shown better form on grass, winning two out of his last three matches, including a victory over Jan-Lennard Struff. However, he faced a setback against Ben Shelton in his last outing, where he did not win a single set.

Final Prediction

De Minaur's superior returning ability and recent experiences on grass provide him with an edge over Lehecka. A key factor to watch during the match will be how effectively De Minaur can leverage his return game against Lehecka's serve, which could significantly influence the outcome of this encounter.

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