London Great Britain Grass Atp 500 Semifinals

Jiri Lehecka vs Jack Draper Prediction

Jiri Lehecka

Rank: #30
52%
VS

Jack Draper

Rank: #6
48%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Jiri Lehecka

Player Metrics

Jiri Lehecka

Form Index: 68.4
ELO Rating: 1978.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1694.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 217.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.7
Clay: 15.3
Grass: 17.2
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 84.9

Jack Draper

Form Index: 74.9
ELO Rating: 2625.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1709.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 352.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 23.3
Clay: 19.8
Grass: 23.1
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 87.1

Recent Matches

Jiri Lehecka

  • Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (2-0) grass London 77 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (2-0) grass London 64 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (2-0) grass London 76 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (0-2) grass Stuttgart 60 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (2-0) grass Stuttgart 86 min

Jack Draper

  • Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (2-1) grass London 142 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (2-1) grass London 133 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (2-0) grass London 77 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Joao Fonseca (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Jiri Lehecka
vs
2
Jack Draper
Hard
1 - 2
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The semifinals of the ATP 500 tournament in London feature a compelling matchup between Jiri Lehecka and Jack Draper, taking place on grass. Jiri Lehecka is predicted to prevail with a probability of 52.49%, while Jack Draper holds a slight chance at 47.51%. The anticipated total number of games played in this contest is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Jiri Lehecka currently ranks 30th with a form index of 68.38 and an Elo rating of 1978.72. His cumulative fatigue stands at 217 minutes, indicating he has managed his physical exertion well throughout the tournament. His surface strength index of 17.22 and mean serve index of 97.65 suggest he has a strong serving capability, particularly on grass. In contrast, Jack Draper, ranked 6th, boasts a higher form index of 74.85 and an Elo rating of 2624.96, highlighting his overall superior performance metrics. However, Draper has accumulated more fatigue at 352 minutes, which may impact his performance. His surface strength index is slightly better at 23.11, and his mean serve index of 95.61 is close to Lehecka’s, with the two players showing no significant difference in serving capabilities. In their recent performances, Lehecka has demonstrated remarkable consistency, winning all three of his last matches in straight sets against formidable opponents, including Alex de Minaur and Gabriel Diallo. Draper, while also successful in his last three matches, faced tougher challenges, having gone to three sets in two of his encounters, including a notable match against Brandon Nakashima that lasted 142 minutes. This could indicate that Draper is more fatigued, which may hinder his performance against Lehecka.

Final Prediction

Lehecka's recent form and his ability to win matches convincingly give him a slight edge in this semifinal clash. A key factor to watch will be Draper’s ability to manage his fatigue, particularly as the match progresses, since both players possess strong serving capabilities and will need to capitalize on their opportunities to secure a win.