Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

Learner Tien

Rank: #61
36%
VS

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #11
64%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Andrey Rublev

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Ranking Trends

Learner Tien

  • Current #61 2025-07-28
  • 3 mo ago #70 2025-05-05
  • 6 mo ago #81 2025-02-03
  • 9 mo ago #121 2024-11-04
  • 12 mo ago #232 2024-08-12

Andrey Rublev

  • Current #11 2025-07-28
  • 3 mo ago #17 2025-05-05
  • 6 mo ago #10 2025-02-03
  • 9 mo ago #9 2024-11-04
  • 12 mo ago #6 2024-08-12

Player Metrics

Learner Tien

Form Index: 56.4
ELO Rating: 1108.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1607.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 78.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.7
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 88.5

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 53.3
ELO Rating: 1961.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1872.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.6
Clay: 22.0
Grass: 27.1
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 87.5

Recent Matches

Learner Tien
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

Andrey Rublev
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Learner Tien
vs
0
Andrey Rublev
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000, Learner Tien faces off against Andrey Rublev on hard courts in Ohio. The predicted winner is Andrey Rublev, with a probability of winning at 64.20%, compared to Learner Tien's 35.80%. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 23 games.

Match Analysis

Andrey Rublev, ranked 11th, boasts a significantly higher Elo rating of 1961.59 compared to Learner Tien's 1108.00. Rublev's form index stands at 53.28, while Tien's is slightly better at 56.36. However, Rublev's surface strength index of 15.55 contrasts sharply with Tien's 9.74, indicating a stronger performance on hard courts for the higher-ranked player. Notably, Rublev's mean serve index of 96.39 is slightly superior to Tien's 96.17, but the difference in their return indices is minimal, with Tien at 88.49 and Rublev at 87.50. In their recent performances, Tien has shown mixed results, winning two of his last three matches, including a convincing 2-0 victory over Leandro Riedi in Cincinnati. Conversely, Rublev has struggled recently, losing his last match against Taylor Fritz but managing to secure a win against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prior to that. This inconsistency may play a role in the match dynamics but Rublev's overall experience and higher ranking provide him with a distinct advantage.

Final Prediction

Rublev is favored to win due to his superior ranking, experience, and overall performance metrics, particularly his strong surface strength index. A key factor to monitor will be Tien's ability to return Rublev's serve effectively, as any significant edge in that aspect could affect the match's outcome.

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