Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Learner Tien vs Reilly Opelka Prediction

Learner Tien

Rank: #67
46%
VS

Reilly Opelka

Rank: #74
54%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Reilly Opelka

Player Metrics

Learner Tien

Form Index: 57.6
ELO Rating: 1108.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1597.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 185.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.7
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 88.6

Reilly Opelka

Form Index: 54.9
ELO Rating: 974.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1677.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 255.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.5
Clay: 3.6
Grass: 5.8
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 83.3

Recent Matches

Learner Tien

  • Last Match: vs Denis Shapovalov (2-0) hard Toronto 94 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Colton Smith (2-0) hard Toronto 91 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) hard Washington 70 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (2-0) hard Washington 91 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (2-0) hard Washington 75 min

Reilly Opelka

  • Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (2-1) hard Toronto 140 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (2-0) hard Toronto 115 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (1-2) hard Washington 120 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Murphy Cassone (2-1) hard Washington 140 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Learner Tien
vs
0
Reilly Opelka
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto, Canada, Learner Tien faces Reilly Opelka on hard courts. The match is poised to be competitive, with Reilly Opelka predicted to emerge victorious, holding a 53.60% probability of winning compared to Learner Tien's 46.40%. The expected total number of games played in this encounter is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Learner Tien, currently ranked 67, boasts a form index of 57.64 and an Elo rating of 1108.59. His cumulative fatigue is at 185 minutes, which suggests he has had a reasonably light tournament thus far. Tien's surface strength index stands at 9.72, while his mean serve index is 96.07, indicating solid serving capabilities. Notably, his mean return index of 88.56 is significantly higher than Opelka's, showcasing his ability to return serve effectively. On the other hand, Reilly Opelka, ranked 74, has a form index of 54.89 and an Elo rating of 974.43. With a higher cumulative fatigue of 255 minutes, Opelka has played longer matches in this tournament. His surface strength index is 8.55, and while his mean serve index of 97.09 slightly edges out Tien's, the difference in serve power is marginal. However, Opelka's mean return index of 83.26 is considerably lower than Tien's, highlighting a potential vulnerability in his game. In their last three matches, Tien has shown strong form, winning two consecutive matches against Colton Smith and Denis Shapovalov, both without dropping a set. Conversely, Opelka has also been successful recently, winning two of his last three matches, including a hard-fought victory against Tomas Machac.

Final Prediction

Reilly Opelka's slight edge in serve strength, combined with his ability to withstand longer matches, gives him a favorable position against Tien. However, Tien's superior return game could play a crucial role in determining the match's outcome. Observing how each player handles their respective strengths and weaknesses will be key in this encounter.