Stockholm Sweden Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Leo Borg vs Sebastian Ofner Prediction

Leo Borg

Rank: #1000
23%
VS

Sebastian Ofner

Rank: #138
77%
Predicted Games Played: 21.0
Predicted Winner: Sebastian Ofner

Ranking Trends

Leo Borg

  • Current Rank: #1000 (None)
  • 3 Months Ago: #495 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #496 (2025-04-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #541 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #590 (2024-10-14)

Sebastian Ofner

  • Current Rank: #138 (2025-09-29)
  • 3 Months Ago: #141 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #143 (2025-04-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #115 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #74 (2024-10-14)

Player Metrics

Leo Borg

Form Index: 11.3
ELO Rating: 65.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1507.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 0.6
Clay: 0.6
Grass: 0.6
Serve Rating: 98.9
Return Rating: 86.6

Sebastian Ofner

Form Index: 10.8
ELO Rating: 922.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1607.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.3
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 7.5
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 84.9

Recent Matches

Leo Borg
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Ofner (0-2) clay Geneva 74 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jacob Fearnley (0-2) clay Barcelona 112 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexandre Muller (0-2) hard Stockholm 90 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Rafael Nadal (0-2) clay Bastad 85 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs None (0-0) None None 0 min

Sebastian Ofner
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Luca Nardi (1-2) hard Shanghai 107 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Casper Ruud (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Vit Kopriva (1-2) hard Winston Salem 118 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Valentin Royer (1-2) hard Cincinnati 105 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Reilly Opelka (0-2) hard Toronto 115 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Leo Borg
vs
1
Sebastian Ofner
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Leo Borg and Sebastian Ofner at the Stockholm tournament, held on hard courts, is set for the Round of 32 phase of an ATP 250 event. With a significant disparity in their rankings and form, Sebastian Ofner is favored to win, boasting a 76.84% probability of victory, compared to Leo Borg's 23.16%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is estimated to be around 21.

Match Analysis

Sebastian Ofner, ranked 138, showcases a solid Elo rating of 922.47 and a form index of 10.77, indicating a competitive edge in his recent performances. His surface strength index of 5.27 suggests he is more accustomed to the hard courts compared to Leo Borg, who is currently ranked 1000 with an Elo rating of 64.95 and a form index of 11.27. Borg’s surface strength index stands at 0.61, highlighting a struggle on hard courts. Additionally, the mean serve index shows a marginal difference, with Borg at 98.91 and Ofner at 95.64, but more notably, their mean return indices show Borg at 86.62 compared to Ofner's 84.89, giving Borg a slight edge in return performance. Over their last three matches, Leo Borg has faced challenges, losing all three encounters, including a recent defeat to Ofner on clay in Geneva. On the other hand, Sebastian Ofner has also encountered difficulties, but his experiences on hard courts, including matches against higher-ranked opponents like Casper Ruud, have provided him with valuable exposure. Both players are currently at a fatigue level of 0.0, indicating they enter the match fresh.

Final Prediction

Sebastian Ofner's superior ranking, experience, and recent performances on hard courts give him a distinct advantage in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Borg's ability to leverage his return game to counter Ofner’s serve, which could influence the direction of the match.