Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Lorenzo Musetti vs James Duckworth Prediction

Lorenzo Musetti

Rank: #7
74%
VS

James Duckworth

Rank: #108
26%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Musetti

Player Metrics

Lorenzo Musetti

Form Index: 42.3
ELO Rating: 2581.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1726.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.6
Clay: 23.9
Grass: 22.0
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 88.3

James Duckworth

Form Index: 54.7
ELO Rating: 636.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1569.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 160.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.8
Clay: 4.2
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 84.4

Recent Matches

Lorenzo Musetti

  • Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (1-2) hard Washington 126 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Holger Rune (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min

James Duckworth

  • Last Match: vs Juncheng Shang (2-0) hard Toronto 90 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Justin Boulais (2-0) hard Toronto 70 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Adam Walton (1-2) hard Los Cabos 120 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2-0) hard Los Cabos 87 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (2-0) hard Los Cabos 90 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Lorenzo Musetti
vs
0
James Duckworth
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto, Lorenzo Musetti is set to face James Duckworth on hard courts. The prediction leans heavily in favor of Musetti, with a winning probability of 73.79% compared to Duckworth's 26.21%. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Lorenzo Musetti, currently ranked 7th, possesses a solid form index of 42.34 and an impressive Elo rating of 2581.27. His fatigue level stands at 0 minutes, indicating he has not spent significant time on court in this tournament yet, which is a positive sign for his stamina. Musetti's surface strength index is notably high at 13.57, and he showcases a mean serve index of 96.89 and a mean return index of 88.27. In contrast, James Duckworth ranks 108th, with a form index of 54.69 and a much lower Elo rating of 636.93. Duckworth's fatigue level is considerably higher at 160 minutes, which may impact his performance. His surface strength index is just 5.83, and while his mean serve index is competitive at 96.26, his mean return index of 84.43 falls below Musetti's by more than 5 points. Examining recent matches, Musetti has struggled, losing his last three encounters, including a close match against Cameron Norrie in Washington. His performances against top-tier players illustrate the challenges he faces. Conversely, Duckworth has shown resilience, winning his last two matches in Toronto against Juncheng Shang and Justin Boulais, both in straight sets. However, his earlier loss in Los Cabos indicates inconsistency.

Final Prediction

Musetti's higher ranking, lower fatigue level, and superior return capabilities provide him with a distinct advantage heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be how Musetti manages to capitalize on Duckworth's fatigue and the pressure of the hard court surface, which could dictate the flow of the match.