Brussels Belgium Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Lorenzo Musetti vs Yannick Hanfmann Prediction

Lorenzo Musetti

Rank: #9
78%
VS

Yannick Hanfmann

Rank: #150
22%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Musetti

Player Metrics

Lorenzo Musetti

Form Index: 51.4
ELO Rating: 2075.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1725.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.4
Clay: 23.9
Grass: 22.0
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 87.9

Yannick Hanfmann

Form Index: 59.5
ELO Rating: 812.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1621.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 350.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.7
Clay: 6.5
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 86.3

Recent Matches

Lorenzo Musetti

  • Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) hard Shanghai 85 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (2-0) hard Shanghai 131 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (2-0) hard Shanghai 87 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Learner Tien (1-2) hard Beijing 101 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (2-0) hard Beijing 84 min

Yannick Hanfmann

  • Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-1) hard Brussels 150 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Tibo Colson (2-1) hard Brussels 132 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Calvin Hemery (2-0) hard Brussels 68 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (1-2) hard Shanghai 162 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (2-1) hard Shanghai 170 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Lorenzo Musetti
vs
0
Yannick Hanfmann
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 matchup at the Brussels tournament, held on hard courts, Lorenzo Musetti is set to face Yannick Hanfmann. Musetti, currently ranked 9th in the world, is favored to win with a probability of 77.59%, while Hanfmann has a 22.41% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Lorenzo Musetti's impressive rank of 9 and a strong form index of 51.37 indicate his capability to perform at a high level. His Elo rating of 2075.38 further supports this, showcasing his competitive edge. Notably, Musetti's surface strength index is 12.41, reflecting his proficiency on hard courts. Additionally, he boasts a mean serve index of 96.80 and a mean return index of 87.91, demonstrating a significant 5-point advantage over Hanfmann in both serving and returning abilities. In contrast, Hanfmann, ranked 150, has a form index of 59.50 and an Elo rating of 812.36, but his fatigue level is notably high at 350 minutes, which could impact his performance. In terms of recent performances, Musetti experienced a mixed bag, winning one match against Luciano Darderi but losing his last match to Felix Auger-Aliassime, which may affect his momentum. On the other hand, Hanfmann has shown resilience, winning his last three matches in Brussels, including a competitive victory over Matteo Arnaldi. However, the cumulative fatigue from his matches could play a detrimental role against a fresher Musetti.

Final Prediction

Lorenzo Musetti's superior ranking, serve and return indices, combined with Hanfmann's fatigue, give him a distinct advantage in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Musetti's ability to capitalize on his serving strength to dictate play early in the match, potentially setting the tone for a decisive victory.