Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction

Marin Cilic

Rank: #97
43%
VS

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Rank: #104
57%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Nikoloz Basilashvili

Player Metrics

Marin Cilic

Form Index: 40.4
ELO Rating: 782.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1519.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.6
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 5.3
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 86.6

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Form Index: 60.5
ELO Rating: 605.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1579.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 189.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.9
Clay: 3.3
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 93.9
Return Rating: 86.9

Recent Matches

Marin Cilic

  • Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) hard Beijing 81 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Nishesh Basavareddy (1-2) hard Hangzhou 153 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jack Draper (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Nikoloz Basilashvili

  • Last Match: vs Eliot Spizzirri (2-0) hard Shanghai 89 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Bernard Tomic (2-1) hard Shanghai 100 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) hard Chengdu 76 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Mackenzie McDonald (2-0) hard Chengdu 92 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Billy Harris (2-0) hard Chengdu 92 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Marin Cilic
vs
0
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Marin Cilic and Nikoloz Basilashvili takes place in the Round of 128 at the Shanghai Masters 1000, a premier hard court tournament. The predicted winner is Nikoloz Basilashvili, with a probability of 56.88% of winning compared to Marin Cilic's 43.12%. The match is anticipated to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Marin Cilic, currently ranked 97, has a form index of 40.40 and an Elo rating of 782.07. He has shown signs of fatigue with 0 minutes logged in the current tournament, indicating he may be fresh for this match. Cilic's surface strength index of 7.57 suggests he can perform well on hard courts, although his mean serve index of 96.17 and mean return index of 86.58 indicate he has solid serving capabilities but may lag slightly in return efficiency. On the other hand, Nikoloz Basilashvili, ranked 104, has a higher form index of 60.48 and an Elo rating of 605.05. He enters the match with 189 minutes of fatigue, stemming from recent matches in the Shanghai tournament. His surface strength index is lower at 4.89, but his mean serve index of 93.94 and mean return index of 86.88 provide him with a slight edge in return performance, particularly given that the difference in their mean return indices is less than 5 points. Recent performances show Cilic struggling, having lost his last three matches, while Basilashvili has won his last two, showcasing a rebound in form.

Final Prediction

Nikoloz Basilashvili's recent form and winning momentum provide him with a crucial advantage over Marin Cilic, who has struggled in his last outings. A key factor to watch will be Basilashvili's ability to capitalize on return opportunities, as his slightly superior return index could make a significant difference in this matchup.