Vienna Austria Hard Atp 500 Round of 16

Matteo Berrettini vs Cameron Norrie Prediction

Matteo Berrettini

Rank: #59
60%
VS

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #35
40%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Matteo Berrettini

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Ranking Trends

Matteo Berrettini

  • Current #59 2025-10-20
  • 3 mo ago #42 2025-07-21
  • 6 mo ago #31 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #34 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #41 2024-10-21

Cameron Norrie

  • Current #35 2025-10-20
  • 3 mo ago #41 2025-07-21
  • 6 mo ago #91 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #52 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #53 2024-10-21

Player Metrics

Matteo Berrettini

Form Index: 42.8
ELO Rating: 1463.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1606.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 92.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.0
Clay: 14.4
Grass: 11.6
Serve Rating: 98.3
Return Rating: 84.0

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 39.5
ELO Rating: 1360.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1707.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 126.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.5
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 11.3
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 87.9

Recent Matches

Matteo Berrettini
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

Cameron Norrie
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Andrey Rublev (2-1) hard Vienna 126 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Learner Tien (0-2) hard Shanghai 107 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) hard Beijing 75 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Yi Zhou (1-2) hard Chengdu 164 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Matteo Berrettini
vs
0
Cameron Norrie
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the ATP 500 tournament in Vienna, Matteo Berrettini faces Cameron Norrie on a hard surface. The prediction favors Berrettini with a 60.50% probability of winning, while Norrie's chances stand at 39.50%. The predicted total number of games played is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Matteo Berrettini, currently ranked 59, holds a solid form index of 42.81 and an Elo rating of 1463.28. His surface strength index of 12.99 indicates he performs well on hard courts, complemented by a mean serve index of 98.28, which is superior to Norrie's mean serve index of 95.32, giving him a notable edge in serving prowess. On the other hand, Cameron Norrie, ranked 35, has a form index of 39.50 and an Elo rating of 1360.72. Norrie's fatigue level of 126 minutes is considerably higher than Berrettini's 92 minutes, potentially affecting his performance. Both players have shown mixed results in their recent matches. Berrettini won against Alexei Popyrin in his last outing, showcasing a strong performance by winning in straight sets. However, he faced a setback against Ugo Humbert in Stockholm, losing in a closely contested match. Norrie, after a victory over Andrey Rublev in his last match, is coming off a challenging stretch where he lost to Learner Tien and Daniil Medvedev in previous tournaments, reflecting inconsistency in his form.

Final Prediction

Matteo Berrettini appears to have the upper hand due to his superior serving capabilities and lower fatigue levels compared to Cameron Norrie. The key factor to observe will be Berrettini's ability to maintain his serve under pressure, as this could significantly influence the outcome of the match.

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