Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Nicolas Jarry vs Arthur Fils Prediction

Nicolas Jarry

Rank: #53
30%
VS

Arthur Fils

Rank: #14
70%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Arthur Fils

Player Metrics

Nicolas Jarry

Form Index: 26.1
ELO Rating: 1139.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1648.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.5
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 11.1
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 84.7

Arthur Fils

Form Index: 49.2
ELO Rating: 2203.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1674.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.1
Clay: 18.5
Grass: 20.8
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 86.9

Recent Matches

Nicolas Jarry

  • Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (1-2) clay Geneva 147 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) clay Rome 117 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Hugo Gaston (2-0) clay Rome 111 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Grigor Dimitrov (0-2) clay Madrid 97 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (2-0) clay Madrid 76 min

Arthur Fils

  • Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) clay Rome 105 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (2-1) clay Rome 113 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-0) clay Rome 67 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (0-2) clay Madrid 105 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) clay Barcelona 75 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Nicolas Jarry
vs
0
Arthur Fils
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the 2025 Roland Garros, Nicolas Jarry faces off against Arthur Fils on the clay courts of France. The match is poised to be an intriguing contest, with Fils predicted to emerge victorious, holding a 69.70% probability of winning compared to Jarry's 30.30%. The expected total number of games played is set at 36.

Match Analysis

Nicolas Jarry is currently ranked 53rd with a form index of 26.06 and an Elo rating of 1139.52. His surface strength index stands at 9.40, indicating a level of adaptability on clay, though not particularly strong. He has a mean serve index of 97.77, which is competitive, but his mean return index of 84.72 is slightly less formidable. Arthur Fils, on the other hand, is ranked 14th and demonstrates a much stronger performance profile with a form index of 49.18 and an Elo rating of 2203.04. His surface strength index is significantly higher at 18.45, reflecting his proficiency on clay. Fils’ mean serve index is 95.79, while his mean return index of 86.86 provides him with a slight edge in return games. The differences in both serve and return indices between the players are minimal, but Fils’ overall performance metrics indicate a more consistent level of play. In their recent matches, Jarry has struggled, winning only one of his last three outings, including two losses in Rome against Cerundolo and Popyrin. His one victory came against Hugo Gaston. Conversely, Fils has shown resilience, winning two out of his last three matches, including a notable victory over Stefanos Tsitsipas. Despite his recent loss to Alexander Zverev, Fils’ overall form appears stronger heading into this matchup.

Final Prediction

Arthur Fils holds a clear edge going into this match due to his higher rank, superior recent form, and better overall statistics, particularly in terms of Elo rating and clay performance. A key factor to watch will be Fils' ability to capitalize on his return games, as his slightly higher return index may create opportunities to break Jarry's serve.