Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Pedro Martinez vs Nicolas Jarry Prediction

Pedro Martinez

Rank: #68
34%
VS

Nicolas Jarry

Rank: #100
66%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Nicolas Jarry

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Ranking Trends

Pedro Martinez

  • Current #68 2025-07-28
  • 3 mo ago #49 2025-05-05
  • 6 mo ago #44 2025-02-03
  • 9 mo ago #42 2024-11-04
  • 12 mo ago #43 2024-08-12

Nicolas Jarry

  • Current #100 2025-07-28
  • 3 mo ago #53 2025-05-05
  • 6 mo ago #38 2025-02-03
  • 9 mo ago #36 2024-11-04
  • 12 mo ago #25 2024-08-12

Player Metrics

Pedro Martinez

Form Index: 29.4
ELO Rating: 1051.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1544.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.4
Clay: 8.9
Grass: 9.5
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 88.8

Nicolas Jarry

Form Index: 66.2
ELO Rating: 1183.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1657.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.5
Clay: 9.0
Grass: 10.9
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 84.1

Recent Matches

Pedro Martinez
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Aleksandar Vukic (0-2) hard Toronto 111 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jan-Lennard Struff (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 71 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Mariano Navone (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs George Loffhagen (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Nicolas Jarry
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (1-2) clay Kitzbuhel 145 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Cameron Norrie (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Joao Fonseca (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Learner Tien (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Holger Rune (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Pedro Martinez
vs
0
Nicolas Jarry
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Pedro Martinez and Nicolas Jarry at the Cincinnati Masters 1000, taking place on hard courts, is set to be an intriguing contest. With Jarry holding a higher probability of victory at 65.55% compared to Martinez's 34.45%, the predicted total number of games played is estimated to be around 23.

Match Analysis

Pedro Martinez is currently ranked 68 with a form index of 29.37 and an Elo rating of 1051.25. His performance on hard courts shows a surface strength index of 9.43, indicating struggles on this surface. In contrast, Nicolas Jarry, ranked 100, has a significantly better form index of 66.19 and a higher Elo rating of 1183.59. Jarry's surface strength index of 10.46 also suggests he is more adept at playing on hard courts. The difference in their mean serve indices is minimal, with Martinez at 96.01 and Jarry at 95.75, but the mean return index shows a greater disparity: Martinez at 88.80 versus Jarry's 84.09, indicating Martinez's stronger return game. Looking at their recent performances, Martinez has faced a tough stretch, losing all three of his last matches, including a recent exit in Toronto where he failed to win a set. Jarry, on the other hand, has shown resilience despite mixed results, managing to win against Joao Fonseca in Wimbledon while narrowly losing to higher-ranked opponents like Cameron Norrie and Botic van de Zandschulp.

Final Prediction

Nicolas Jarry's edge comes from his superior form and recent performances, coupled with a higher Elo rating, which suggests a greater capacity to compete against tougher opponents. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Martinez's return game, as it will be crucial for him to capitalize on Jarry's serve to have any chance of success.

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