Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Round of 16

Roberto Bautista Agut vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction

Roberto Bautista Agut

Rank: #56
35%
VS

Frances Tiafoe

Rank: #16
65%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Frances Tiafoe

Player Metrics

Roberto Bautista Agut

Form Index: 46.9
ELO Rating: 1049.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1581.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 97.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.9
Clay: 9.0
Grass: 9.4
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 87.4

Frances Tiafoe

Form Index: 45.6
ELO Rating: 1627.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1699.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 88.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.1
Clay: 14.7
Grass: 20.9
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 86.9

Recent Matches

Roberto Bautista Agut

  • Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (2-0) clay Hamburg 97 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (0-2) clay Rome 80 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) clay Rome 114 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) clay Madrid 70 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-1) clay Madrid 137 min

Frances Tiafoe

  • Last Match: vs Yunchaokete Bu (2-0) clay Hamburg 88 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (1-2) clay Rome 120 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (0-2) clay Madrid 97 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (2-0) clay Madrid 78 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (2-0) clay Madrid 67 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Roberto Bautista Agut
vs
0
Frances Tiafoe
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match in the Round of 16 at the Hamburg tournament, taking place on clay, features Roberto Bautista Agut facing off against Frances Tiafoe. With a predicted probability of 34.53% for Bautista Agut and 65.47% for Tiafoe, the latter is favored to win this contest. The predicted total number of games played is set at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Roberto Bautista Agut, currently ranked 56, has a form index of 46.92 and an Elo rating of 1049.24. He is experiencing high fatigue levels at 97.0 minutes and has a surface strength index of 9.03. His mean serve index is slightly higher at 97.04, while his mean return index stands at 87.37. In comparison, Frances Tiafoe, ranked 16, boasts a significantly better Elo rating of 1626.98 and a surface strength index of 14.69. His fatigue level is lower at 88.0 minutes, and while his mean serve index is 96.13, his return index is slightly lower at 86.89. Notably, Bautista Agut's mean serve index is marginally better, but Tiafoe's overall performance indicators suggest a stronger clay-court presence. In their recent performances, Bautista Agut has had mixed results, winning against Marcos Giron in his last match and losing to Tommy Paul before that. His victory against Matteo Arnaldi shows he can compete effectively, but his inconsistency raises concerns. Tiafoe, on the other hand, has shown promise despite a recent loss to Sebastian Ofner in Rome. His victory over Yunchaokete Bu in Hamburg demonstrates his ability to perform well under pressure, although he has struggled against higher-ranked opponents lately.

Final Prediction

Frances Tiafoe's superior ranking, Elo rating, and lower fatigue level provide him with a distinct advantage heading into this match. The key factor to watch will be how effectively Bautista Agut can leverage his serve against Tiafoe's returning capabilities, as this could determine the flow of the match.