Winston Salem NC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Kamil Majchrzak vs Sebastian Korda Prediction

Kamil Majchrzak

Rank: #88
36%
VS

Sebastian Korda

Rank: #45
64%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Sebastian Korda

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Ranking Trends

Kamil Majchrzak

  • Current #88 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #88 2025-05-19
  • 6 mo ago #116 2025-02-17
  • 9 mo ago #120 2024-11-18
  • 12 mo ago #168 2024-08-19

Sebastian Korda

  • Current #45 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #23 2025-05-19
  • 6 mo ago #22 2025-02-17
  • 9 mo ago #23 2024-11-18
  • 12 mo ago #16 2024-08-19

Player Metrics

Kamil Majchrzak

Form Index: 51.5
ELO Rating: 816.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1617.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 166.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.5
Clay: 4.8
Grass: 6.0
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 86.4

Sebastian Korda

Form Index: 63.4
ELO Rating: 1690.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1661.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 83.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.9
Clay: 15.2
Grass: 18.3
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 85.5

Recent Matches

Kamil Majchrzak
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

Sebastian Korda
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Vit Kopriva (2-0) hard Winston Salem 83 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Frances Tiafoe (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jenson Brooksby (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Luciano Darderi (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jaume Munar (0-2) clay Rome 87 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Kamil Majchrzak
vs
0
Sebastian Korda
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Winston-Salem tournament, Kamil Majchrzak faces Sebastian Korda on hard courts in North Carolina. With Korda currently favored to win, he holds a probability of 63.55%, while Majchrzak's chances stand at 36.45%. The predicted total number of games for this matchup is set at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Kamil Majchrzak is ranked 88th and has a form index of 51.45, which suggests he is performing moderately. His Elo rating is 816.32, indicating he has room for improvement compared to his opponent. Majchrzak has accumulated 166 minutes of fatigue, potentially impacting his performance. His surface strength index of 5.52 reflects limited effectiveness on hard courts, although he boasts a solid mean serve index of 95.65 and a mean return index of 86.42. In contrast, Sebastian Korda, ranked 45th with a form index of 63.43, demonstrates a stronger recent performance. His Elo rating of 1690.74 indicates a much higher skill level. With only 83 minutes of accumulated fatigue, Korda appears fresher for this match. His surface strength index of 14.87 shows he is more adept on hard courts, and while his mean serve index is very close to Majchrzak's at 95.52, his mean return index of 85.53 indicates a slight edge. Both players have won their last matches convincingly, but Korda's recent loss at Roland Garros suggests he is looking to bounce back.

Final Prediction

Sebastian Korda enters the match with a clear advantage in both ranking and recent form, coupled with less fatigue. His superior surface strength index on hard courts and slightly better return game will be crucial factors in determining the outcome. Observers should pay close attention to Korda's service effectiveness, as it could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.

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