Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Luciano Darderi vs Sebastian Korda Prediction

Luciano Darderi

Rank: #46
50%
VS

Sebastian Korda

Rank: #23
50%
Expected Total Games: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Luciano Darderi

Player Metrics

Luciano Darderi

Form Index: 50.4
ELO Rating: 1199.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1581.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 10.5
Grass: 9.7
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 86.6

Sebastian Korda

Form Index: 41.7
ELO Rating: 1734.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1654.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.9
Clay: 15.6
Grass: 18.3
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 85.9

Recent Matches

Luciano Darderi

  • Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (1-2) clay Hamburg 113 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (2-1) clay Hamburg 167 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Diego Dedura (2-0) clay Hamburg 69 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jack Draper (0-2) clay Rome 78 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Yunchaokete Bu (2-0) clay Rome 111 min

Sebastian Korda

  • Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (0-2) clay Rome 87 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-0) clay Rome 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) clay Madrid 70 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Federico Cina (2-1) clay Madrid 101 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (0-2) clay Barcelona 97 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Luciano Darderi
vs
0
Sebastian Korda
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Luciano Darderi and Sebastian Korda at Roland Garros promises to be an intriguing encounter in the Round of 128. Played on clay, a surface that can often lead to extended rallies and strategic play, the match features two players with closely matched probabilities—Darderi is predicted to win with a probability of 50.06%, while Korda trails slightly at 49.94%. The anticipated total number of games played is 37.

Match Analysis

Luciano Darderi, ranked 46th, enters this match with a form index of 50.42 and an Elo rating of 1199.76. He shows no signs of fatigue, indicating a fresh state heading into the match. Darderi's surface strength index of 10.47 suggests a moderate ability on clay, complemented by a strong mean serve index of 97.26 and a robust mean return index of 86.59. In contrast, Sebastian Korda, ranked 23rd, has a higher Elo rating of 1734.62 and a surface strength index of 15.56, reflecting a better adaptation to clay surfaces. However, his mean serve index of 95.87 and mean return index of 85.85 reveal only a slight edge over Darderi in these areas, with no significant discrepancies greater than 5 points. Recent performances indicate a mixed bag for both players. Darderi's last three matches include a tough loss against Andrey Rublev but victories over Brandon Nakashima and Diego Dedura, showcasing resilience after a challenging defeat. Korda, on the other hand, has struggled, with a loss to Jaume Munar and a win against Aleksandar Vukic, interspersed with a defeat by Casper Ruud. This pattern suggests Darderi may have a psychological advantage going into the match.

Final Prediction

Luciano Darderi's recent performances, combined with his competitive serving and returning capabilities, give him a slight edge in this matchup. His ability to bounce back from defeat and compete well against higher-ranked players will be crucial. A key factor to watch will be Darderi's serve effectiveness against Korda's return game, which could dictate the flow of the match.

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