Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Sebastian Ofner vs Jan-Lennard Struff Prediction

Sebastian Ofner

Rank: #143
55%
VS

Jan-Lennard Struff

Rank: #87
45%
Predicted Games Played: 40.0
Predicted Winner: Sebastian Ofner

Player Metrics

Sebastian Ofner

Form Index: 59.4
ELO Rating: 926.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1636.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.8
Clay: 8.4
Grass: 6.0
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 84.8

Jan-Lennard Struff

Form Index: 21.6
ELO Rating: 974.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1622.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.0
Clay: 11.5
Grass: 12.3
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 85.6

Recent Matches

Sebastian Ofner

  • Last Match: vs Hubert Hurkacz (0-2) clay Geneva 60 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (2-1) clay Geneva 116 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (2-0) clay Geneva 113 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ivan Gakhov (2-0) clay Geneva 53 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (2-0) clay Geneva 96 min

Jan-Lennard Struff

  • Last Match: vs Justin Engel (0-2) clay Hamburg 100 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (1-2) clay Madrid 118 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Botic van de Zandschulp (2-1) clay Madrid 102 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-1) clay Munich 54 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Valentin Vacherot (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 58 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Sebastian Ofner
vs
0
Jan-Lennard Struff
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The matchup between Sebastian Ofner and Jan-Lennard Struff at Roland Garros marks an intriguing contest in the Round of 128 on clay. With the tournament being a Grand Slam event located in France, the stakes are high. The predicted winner is Sebastian Ofner, who holds a 55.47% probability of winning, compared to Jan-Lennard Struff’s 44.53%. The expected total number of games played in this encounter is projected to be around 40.

Match Analysis

Sebastian Ofner, currently ranked 143, has a form index of 59.43 and an Elo rating of 926.08. His surface strength index stands at 8.40, which suggests he can perform decently on clay despite his lower rank. In contrast, Jan-Lennard Struff, ranked 87, has a form index of just 21.58 and a higher Elo rating of 974.15, indicating stronger performances historically. Struff’s surface strength index of 11.55 is also superior, suggesting he adapts slightly better to clay conditions. Notably, Ofner's mean serve index is marginally higher at 97.34 compared to Struff's 96.37, while his mean return index of 84.82 is lower than Struff’s 85.61 by a narrow margin, indicating a competitive service game from both. Examining recent performances, Ofner's last three matches include a win against Karen Khachanov and a solid victory over Nuno Borges, showcasing his capability to compete effectively on clay. However, he faced a setback against Hubert Hurkacz in his most recent outing. In contrast, Struff has struggled recently, losing his last two matches, including a loss to Justin Engel, which raises concerns about his current form. His only recent victory came against Botic van de Zandschulp, highlighting inconsistency in performance.

Final Prediction

Sebastian Ofner’s edge lies in his recent success and higher mean serve index, which could prove crucial on clay. A key factor to watch will be how effectively each player can capitalize on their service games, particularly with the pressure of a Grand Slam setting.