Geneva Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Karen Khachanov vs Sebastian Ofner Prediction

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #24
57%
VS

Sebastian Ofner

Rank: #143
43%
Predicted Games Played: 25.0
Predicted Winner: Karen Khachanov

Player Metrics

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 54.1
ELO Rating: 2051.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1748.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 84.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.6
Clay: 19.8
Grass: 18.3
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 85.4

Sebastian Ofner

Form Index: 62.1
ELO Rating: 811.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1632.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 336.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.8
Clay: 7.4
Grass: 6.2
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 85.1

Recent Matches

Karen Khachanov

  • Last Match: vs Kei Nishikori (1-1) clay Geneva 84 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-2) clay Rome 148 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Francesco Passaro (2-0) clay Rome 61 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Roman Andres Burruchaga (2-1) clay Rome 160 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (1-2) clay Madrid 103 min

Sebastian Ofner

  • Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (2-0) clay Geneva 113 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Ivan Gakhov (2-0) clay Geneva 53 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (2-0) clay Geneva 96 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Leo Borg (2-0) clay Geneva 74 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) clay Rome 76 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Karen Khachanov
vs
0
Sebastian Ofner
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match between Karen Khachanov and Sebastian Ofner at the Geneva tournament promises to be an intriguing contest on clay. With Khachanov ranked 24 and Ofner at 143, the match will showcase contrasting trajectories. The predicted winner is Karen Khachanov, with a probability of winning at 56.72%, while Ofner has a 43.28% chance. The anticipated total number of games played is 25.

Match Analysis

Karen Khachanov holds a significant edge in ranking and experience, sitting at 24 with a form index of 54.1 and an Elo rating of 2051.3. His cumulative fatigue stands at 84 minutes, which is relatively low, suggesting he is in better physical condition compared to Ofner, who has accumulated 336 minutes of fatigue. Khachanov's surface strength index of 19.8 further emphasizes his proficiency on clay, especially when contrasted with Ofner's 7.4. Additionally, the difference in their mean serve index is notable; Khachanov's at 97.0 exceeds Ofner's 95.9 by more than 5 points, giving him an advantage in serving capabilities. On the return front, both players are closely matched, with Khachanov's mean return index of 85.4 slightly higher than Ofner's 85.1. In their recent performances, Khachanov has shown mixed results with a win over Kei Nishikori but a loss to Carlos Alcaraz, while Ofner has displayed consistent form, winning all three of his recent matches in Geneva. Notably, Ofner’s victories have come against lower-ranked opponents, while Khachanov has faced more formidable challenges, which may impact their confidence going into this match.

Final Prediction

Karen Khachanov's higher ranking, combined with a lower fatigue level and superior serving ability, gives him a clear advantage over Sebastian Ofner. A crucial factor to watch will be Khachanov's ability to maintain his serving efficiency under pressure, as this will likely dictate the pace and flow of the match.