Geneva Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Sebastian Ofner vs Nuno Borges Prediction

Sebastian Ofner

Rank: #143
49%
VS

Nuno Borges

Rank: #40
51%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Nuno Borges

Ranking Trends

Sebastian Ofner

  • Current Rank: #143 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #114 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #87 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #55 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #45 (2024-05-20)

Nuno Borges

  • Current Rank: #40 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #39 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #33 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #35 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #46 (2024-05-20)

Player Metrics

Sebastian Ofner

Form Index: 59.6
ELO Rating: 746.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1628.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 223.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.8
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 6.0
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 85.1

Nuno Borges

Form Index: 42.5
ELO Rating: 1350.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1601.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 101.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.8
Clay: 11.4
Grass: 10.8
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Sebastian Ofner
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Ivan Gakhov (2-0) clay Geneva 53 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Reilly Opelka (2-0) clay Geneva 96 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Leo Borg (2-0) clay Geneva 74 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) clay Rome 76 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Frances Tiafoe (2-1) clay Rome 120 min

Nuno Borges
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alex Michelsen (2-1) clay Geneva 101 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Thiago Seyboth Wild (1-2) clay Rome 143 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) clay Madrid 73 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Pablo Carreno Busta (2-1) clay Madrid 152 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 67 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Sebastian Ofner
vs
0
Nuno Borges
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Geneva tournament, both Sebastian Ofner and Nuno Borges will face off on clay, a surface that can significantly influence their playing styles. Nuno Borges is predicted to edge out Sebastian Ofner, with a win probability of 50.67% compared to Ofner's 49.33%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 24 games played.

Match Analysis

Sebastian Ofner, currently ranked 143, has a form index of 59.55 and an Elo rating of 746.70. His fatigue level stands at 223 minutes, indicating he has played significantly more than Borges in this tournament. Ofner's surface strength index is 6.91, while his mean serve index is 97.32, suggesting he has a solid service game. However, his mean return index of 85.11 is slightly lower than Borges, indicating a potential vulnerability in returning serves. In contrast, Nuno Borges, ranked 40, possesses a higher Elo rating of 1350.88 and a mean return index of 87.29, showcasing his effectiveness in receiving serves. His fatigue level is markedly lower at 101 minutes, which may give him a stamina advantage. Borges's surface strength index of 11.38 indicates he is more adept on clay compared to Ofner. Recent performances show Ofner has won all his last three matches convincingly, whereas Borges has a mixed record, winning one and losing two of his last three matches.

Final Prediction

Nuno Borges holds a slight edge due to his higher ranking, lower fatigue, and superior return capabilities. A key factor to watch will be how well Ofner can leverage his strong serve against Borges’s effective return game, as this could determine the outcome of the match.