Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 64

Sebastian Ofner vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Sebastian Ofner

Rank: #165
26%
VS

Tommy Paul

Rank: #13
74%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Tommy Paul

Player Metrics

Sebastian Ofner

Form Index: 57.9
ELO Rating: 985.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1642.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.8
Clay: 8.9
Grass: 6.2
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 84.4

Tommy Paul

Form Index: 72.6
ELO Rating: 2607.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1791.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.2
Clay: 24.2
Grass: 25.3
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 88.2

Recent Matches

Sebastian Ofner

  • Last Match: vs Hamad Medjedovic (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (1-2) grass Mallorca 115 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) grass Halle 62 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Justin Engel (2-0) grass Halle 74 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Benjamin Hassan (2-0) grass Halle 86 min

Tommy Paul

  • Last Match: vs Johannus Monday (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Daniel Evans (1-2) grass Eastbourne 134 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Sebastian Ofner
vs
0
Tommy Paul
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at Wimbledon between Sebastian Ofner and Tommy Paul is set to be an intriguing contest in the round of 64 on grass. Tommy Paul is favored to win with a probability of 73.59%, while Sebastian Ofner has a 26.41% chance of emerging victorious. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 37.

Match Analysis

Sebastian Ofner, currently ranked 165, has a form index of 57.89 and an Elo rating of 985.36. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 174 minutes, indicating a potentially taxing match schedule. Ofner's surface strength index is notably low at 6.21, suggesting he may struggle on grass. Comparatively, Tommy Paul ranks 13th with a much higher form index of 72.59 and an impressive Elo rating of 2607.03. Paul shares the same fatigue level of 174 minutes but boasts a superior surface strength index of 25.30, showcasing his proficiency on grass courts. Additionally, Tommy Paul's mean serve index of 95.27 is slightly lower than Ofner's 97.18, but the margin is not significant enough to indicate a clear advantage. In terms of recent performances, Ofner's last three matches have seen mixed results. He achieved a solid win against Hamad Medjedovic in the previous round but suffered defeats in his prior two matches against Mariano Navone and Andrey Rublev. Conversely, Tommy Paul recently secured a convincing victory over Johannus Monday, although he faced challenges in earlier matches against Daniel Evans and Carlos Alcaraz, where he did not win. This contrast in recent form suggests that Paul is currently in better competitive shape.

Final Prediction

Tommy Paul’s higher ranking, improved recent form, and stronger overall statistics give him a significant edge in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how Paul capitalizes on his superior surface strength and return capabilities against Ofner's serve, which could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.