Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Roberto Carballes Baena vs Taylor Fritz Prediction

Roberto Carballes Baena

Rank: #85
24%
VS

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #4
76%
Expected Total Games: 21.0
Predicted Winner: Taylor Fritz

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Player Metrics

Roberto Carballes Baena

Form Index: 34.2
ELO Rating: 903.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1552.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 77.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.0
Clay: 7.1
Grass: 8.3
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 87.5

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 67.5
ELO Rating: 4189.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1809.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 33.2
Clay: 37.4
Grass: 44.8
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 86.3

Recent Matches

Roberto Carballes Baena

Taylor Fritz

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Roberto Carballes Baena
vs
0
Taylor Fritz
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 match at the Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto, Taylor Fritz is set to face Roberto Carballes Baena on hard courts. The prediction favors Fritz as the winner, with a probability of 76.33% compared to Carballes Baena's 23.67%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 21 games played.

Match Analysis

Taylor Fritz, currently ranked 4th, boasts a strong form index of 67.54 and an impressive Elo rating of 4189.77. His cumulative fatigue is at 0 minutes, suggesting he comes into this match fresh. Fritz's surface strength index stands at 33.17, which indicates a solid performance on hard courts. In contrast, Roberto Carballes Baena is ranked 85th, with a lower form index of 34.22 and an Elo rating of 903.66. Carballes Baena has accumulated 77 minutes of fatigue from his recent matches, and his surface strength index is notably lower at 9.04. The mean serve index reveals a significant advantage for Fritz, who has a mean serve index of 97.10 compared to Carballes Baena's 96.32. However, the mean return index is closer, with Carballes Baena at 87.52 and Fritz at 86.33, showing that Fritz has a slight edge on serve. In their last three matches, Fritz has shown resilience, winning one match and losing two in Washington, yet his overall performance indicates a capable competitor. Meanwhile, Carballes Baena won his last match convincingly against Camilo Ugo Carabelli but faced tougher opponents in his previous two matches, where he lost without winning a set. This recent performance trend could impact his confidence heading into the match against a higher-ranked opponent.

Final Prediction

Taylor Fritz's higher ranking, form, and fresh legs provide him with a significant advantage over Roberto Carballes Baena in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Fritz's serving ability, as his superior mean serve index could dictate the pace and control of the match.

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