Halle Germany Grass Atp 500 Round of 32

Jesper de Jong vs Tomas Machac Prediction

Jesper de Jong

Rank: #93
32%
VS

Tomas Machac

Rank: #23
68%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Tomas Machac

Ranking Trends

Jesper de Jong

  • Current Rank: #93 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #105 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #112 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #131 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #146 (2024-06-17)

Tomas Machac

  • Current Rank: #23 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #21 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #25 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #35 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #36 (2024-06-17)

Player Metrics

Jesper de Jong

Form Index: 39.3
ELO Rating: 758.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1565.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 193.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.9
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 4.0
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 87.1

Tomas Machac

Form Index: 18.0
ELO Rating: 1391.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1592.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.5
Clay: 14.0
Grass: 14.5
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 87.4

Recent Matches

Jesper de Jong
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Laslo Djere (0-2) grass Halle 67 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Max Schoenhaus (2-1) grass Halle 126 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Reilly Opelka (1-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 163 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Francesco Passaro (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Tomas Machac
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Quentin Halys (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Cameron Norrie (1-2) clay Geneva 105 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Tommy Paul (1-2) clay Rome 143 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Learner Tien (2-0) clay Rome 82 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jacob Fearnley (1-2) clay Madrid 104 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jesper de Jong
vs
0
Tomas Machac
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Jesper de Jong and Tomas Machac is set to take place at the ATP 500 tournament in Halle, Germany, on grass courts during the Round of 32 phase. With Machac holding a significant advantage, the predicted winner is Tomas Machac, with a probability of 67.68% to Jesper de Jong's 32.32%. The total number of games expected in this encounter is approximately 22.

Match Analysis

Jesper de Jong currently ranks 93rd, and his form index stands at 39.26, indicating some inconsistent performances lately. His Elo rating of 758.30 reflects a player still finding his footing at this level. De Jong has accumulated 193 minutes of fatigue in this tournament, which could impact his performance. On the other hand, Tomas Machac is ranked 23rd with an Elo rating of 1391.41, showcasing his stronger position in the ATP rankings. Although his form index is lower at 18.03, he comes into this match without any fatigue, having not played in the current tournament yet. Machac's surface strength index of 14.50 also suggests he is more adept on grass compared to De Jong's 3.95. In their recent performances, Jesper de Jong has had mixed results, winning one match against Max Schoenhaus but losing to both Laslo Djere and Reilly Opelka. This inconsistency could hinder his confidence going into the match. Conversely, Tomas Machac's last three matches resulted in losses at Roland Garros, Geneva, and Rome, all on clay, which may not translate well to the grass surface but reflects his competitiveness at higher levels.

Final Prediction

Tomas Machac's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and absence of fatigue give him a distinct advantage in this matchup. A key factor to observe will be De Jong’s ability to manage his fatigue and capitalize on any weaknesses in Machac’s serve, as the match unfolds on grass, a surface that can often lead to unpredictable outcomes.