Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 64

Tommy Paul vs Roberto Bautista Agut Prediction

Tommy Paul

Rank: #12
60%
VS

Roberto Bautista Agut

Rank: #56
40%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Tommy Paul

Player Metrics

Tommy Paul

Form Index: 49.7
ELO Rating: 2657.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1775.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.2
Clay: 23.6
Grass: 26.1
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 88.3

Roberto Bautista Agut

Form Index: 43.8
ELO Rating: 1014.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1575.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 114.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.1
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 10.0
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 87.5

Recent Matches

Tommy Paul

  • Last Match: vs Jack Draper (0-2) clay Madrid 68 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (2-1) clay Madrid 103 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Joao Fonseca (2-0) clay Madrid 125 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (1-2) clay Houston 162 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Colton Smith (2-0) clay Houston 89 min

Roberto Bautista Agut

  • Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) clay Rome 114 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) clay Madrid 70 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-1) clay Madrid 137 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Botic van de Zandschulp (1-2) clay Munich 152 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 68 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Tommy Paul
vs
0
Roberto Bautista Agut
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The matchup between Tommy Paul and Roberto Bautista Agut takes place in the Round of 64 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Rome, Italy, on clay surface. Tommy Paul is favored to win this encounter with a probability of 60.15%, compared to Bautista Agut's 39.85%. The predicted total number of games played is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Tommy Paul, currently ranked 12th, exhibits a solid form index of 49.72 and an impressive Elo rating of 2657.63, which indicates his strong performance level. In contrast, Bautista Agut, ranked 56th, has a lower form index of 43.76 and an Elo rating of 1014.57. Paul has demonstrated excellent stamina with 0 minutes of cumulative fatigue, while Bautista Agut's fatigue level stands at 114 minutes, suggesting he may be feeling the effects of earlier matches. On clay, Paul's surface strength index is 23.59, whereas Bautista Agut's is significantly lower at 9.32, highlighting Paul's adaptability to this surface. In their recent performances, Paul has had mixed results, having won 2 out of his last 3 matches, although he was defeated in his most recent outing against Jack Draper. Bautista Agut, on the other hand, also shows a mixed track record but comes off a victory against Matteo Arnaldi in his last match. Notably, Paul has a mean serve index of 97.07 compared to Bautista Agut's 95.70, which is a difference of over 5 points. Additionally, Paul's mean return index of 88.27 outperforms Bautista Agut's 87.46, providing him another edge in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Tommy Paul holds a clear advantage due to his higher ranking, better form, and lower fatigue level, which could be crucial in a tough battle on clay. A key factor to watch will be how well Paul can capitalize on his strong serve and return game against Bautista Agut, particularly in the early exchanges of the match.