S Hertogenbosch Netherlands Grass Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Nuno Borges vs Ugo Humbert Prediction

Nuno Borges

Rank: #38
43%
VS

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #20
57%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Ugo Humbert

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Ranking Trends

Nuno Borges

  • Current #38 2025-06-09
  • 3 mo ago #36 2025-03-03
  • 6 mo ago #36 2024-12-09
  • 9 mo ago #30 2024-09-09
  • 12 mo ago #48 2024-06-10

Ugo Humbert

  • Current #20 2025-06-09
  • 3 mo ago #19 2025-03-03
  • 6 mo ago #14 2024-12-09
  • 9 mo ago #18 2024-09-09
  • 12 mo ago #16 2024-06-10

Player Metrics

Nuno Borges

Form Index: 61.4
ELO Rating: 1395.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1608.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 73.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.8
Clay: 11.8
Grass: 10.7
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 87.3

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 47.3
ELO Rating: 2010.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1673.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 100.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.5
Clay: 15.1
Grass: 21.9
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 84.9

Recent Matches

Nuno Borges
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

Ugo Humbert
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Nuno Borges
vs
0
Ugo Humbert
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the s-Hertogenbosch tournament, held on grass in the Netherlands, Nuno Borges faces Ugo Humbert. The match is anticipated to be competitive, with Humbert predicted to win, holding a probability of 57.28% compared to Borges' 42.72%. The expected total number of games played is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Ugo Humbert, currently ranked 20, has a significantly higher Elo rating of 2010.93 compared to Borges’ 1395.04. Despite Humbert's lower form index of 47.26 versus Borges' 61.36, his surface strength index of 21.92 suggests he performs well on grass. Borges’ fatigue level is at 73.0 minutes, whereas Humbert is at a maximum of 100.0 minutes, indicating that both players have faced considerable court time, but Humbert may be feeling the effects more acutely. Analyzing their recent performances, Nuno Borges has demonstrated resilience, winning convincingly against Nishesh Basavareddy in his last match on grass. However, he previously struggled at Roland Garros, where he lost to Alexei Popyrin after a tough match against Casper Ruud. On the other hand, Humbert had a strong showing against Daniel Evans in his last outing, although he faced challenges in earlier rounds at Roland Garros. The differences in their mean serve and return indices are marginal, with Humbert's mean serve index at 95.62 slightly lower than Borges' 96.54, while their return indices are close as well.

Final Prediction

Ugo Humbert's higher rank and Elo rating provide him with a distinct advantage going into this match. The key factor to watch will be how each player's fatigue level influences their performance, particularly Humbert, who has recently logged significant court time.

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