Metz France Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Valentin Royer vs Cameron Norrie Prediction

Valentin Royer

Rank: #59
44%
VS

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #31
56%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Cameron Norrie

Player Metrics

Valentin Royer

Form Index: 31.3
ELO Rating: 755.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1571.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.0
Clay: 2.8
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 88.1

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 46.1
ELO Rating: 1409.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1710.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.0
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 11.3
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 87.9

Recent Matches

Valentin Royer

  • Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (1-2) hard Paris 118 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (1-2) hard Paris 138 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (2-0) hard Paris 80 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Denis Shapovalov (0-2) hard Basel 83 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Raphael Collignon (2-0) hard Basel 92 min

Cameron Norrie

  • Last Match: vs Valentin Vacherot (0-2) hard Paris 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (2-1) hard Paris 142 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Sebastian Baez (2-0) hard Paris 84 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Matteo Berrettini (1-2) hard Vienna 196 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (2-1) hard Vienna 126 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Valentin Royer
vs
0
Cameron Norrie
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 of the ATP 250 tournament in Metz, France, Valentin Royer faces Cameron Norrie on hard courts. The match's predicted winner is Cameron Norrie, who has a 55.51% probability of victory compared to Royer's 44.49%. The anticipated total number of games played is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Cameron Norrie, currently ranked 31, comes into this match with a form index of 46.11 and an Elo rating of 1409.87, showcasing his strong competitive standard. His surface strength index of 11.01 indicates proficiency on hard courts. In contrast, Valentin Royer, ranked 59, has a slightly lower form index of 31.33 and an Elo rating of 755.27. The gap in their mean serve index is narrow, with Norrie at 95.38 and Royer at 97.25, which is less than a 5-point difference, suggesting that serving capabilities will be closely matched. However, Royer has a higher mean return index of 88.11 compared to Norrie's 87.88, further indicating a competitive edge in returns. Reviewing their recent performances, Norrie struggled in his last match against Valentin Vacherot but previously secured a win over Carlos Alcaraz, suggesting a mixed bag of results lately. Royer, on the other hand, has faced tough competition, losing his last two matches against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Sebastian Korda, although he did manage a win against Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the third match back. This inconsistency may play a role in the outcome.

Final Prediction

Cameron Norrie's slight edge in ranking and experience, coupled with his recent victory over a top player, positions him favorably in this matchup. A crucial factor to observe will be how each player handles pressure points, particularly Norrie's ability to capitalize on Royer's recent struggles.