Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Frances Tiafoe vs Yannick Hanfmann Prediction

Frances Tiafoe

Rank: #29
65%
VS

Yannick Hanfmann

Rank: #159
35%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Frances Tiafoe

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Ranking Trends

Frances Tiafoe

  • Current #29 2025-09-22
  • 3 mo ago #12 2025-06-30
  • 6 mo ago #17 2025-03-31
  • 9 mo ago #18 2024-12-30
  • 12 mo ago #17 2024-09-30

Yannick Hanfmann

  • Current #159 2025-09-22
  • 3 mo ago #135 2025-06-30
  • 6 mo ago #123 2025-03-31
  • 9 mo ago #96 2024-12-30
  • 12 mo ago #85 2024-09-30

Player Metrics

Frances Tiafoe

Form Index: 46.8
ELO Rating: 1445.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1705.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.4
Clay: 14.4
Grass: 19.7
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.9

Yannick Hanfmann

Form Index: 51.4
ELO Rating: 715.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1603.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 191.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.7
Clay: 6.5
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 86.7

Recent Matches

Frances Tiafoe
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

Yannick Hanfmann
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Frances Tiafoe
vs
0
Yannick Hanfmann
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Shanghai Masters 1000 tournament, Frances Tiafoe is set to face Yannick Hanfmann on hard courts. Tiafoe is favored to win with a probability of 64.94%, while Hanfmann has a 35.06% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 23.

Match Analysis

Frances Tiafoe, currently ranked 29th, possesses a form index of 46.83 and an Elo rating of 1445.47. His performance on hard surfaces is highlighted by a surface strength index of 12.36. Notably, Tiafoe's mean serve index of 97.03 significantly surpasses Hanfmann's 95.59 by over 5 points, indicating a potential advantage in serving. On the other hand, Hanfmann, ranked 159th, has a higher form index of 51.40 and an Elo rating of 715.45, but his fatigue level is considerably high at 191 minutes, which could affect his stamina during the match. The surface strength index of Hanfmann is only 5.67, reflecting his relative struggles on hard courts compared to Tiafoe. In their recent matches, Tiafoe has faced challenges, losing two of his last three matches, with the most recent being a tough battle against Marton Fucsovics. Conversely, Hanfmann has displayed resilience in the Shanghai tournament, winning his last two matches, including a solid performance against Lorenzo Sonego. However, his prior performance in Chengdu shows inconsistency, as he lost to Nicolai Budkov Kjaer.

Final Prediction

Frances Tiafoe holds an edge due to his superior serving capabilities and lower fatigue level, which are crucial on the fast-paced hard surface. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Tiafoe’s serve, as breaking Hanfmann's rhythm early could set the tone for the match.

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