Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Yoshihito Nishioka vs Alexander Shevchenko Prediction

Yoshihito Nishioka

Rank: #157
50%
VS

Alexander Shevchenko

Rank: #88
50%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Shevchenko

Ranking Trends

Yoshihito Nishioka

  • Current Rank: #157 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #82 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #70 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #69 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #60 (2024-09-30)

Alexander Shevchenko

  • Current Rank: #88 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #98 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #105 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #78 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #58 (2024-09-30)

Player Metrics

Yoshihito Nishioka

Form Index: 35.0
ELO Rating: 834.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1574.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 141.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.9
Clay: 6.8
Grass: 7.5
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 86.5

Alexander Shevchenko

Form Index: 50.5
ELO Rating: 702.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1587.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.0
Clay: 6.6
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 88.8

Recent Matches

Yoshihito Nishioka
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-0) hard Shanghai 69 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Rio Noguchi (2-0) hard Shanghai 72 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Luciano Darderi (0-2) hard Tokio 120 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Frances Tiafoe (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Pablo Carreno Busta (0-1) hard Winston Salem 58 min

Alexander Shevchenko
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) hard Chengdu 64 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Taro Daniel (2-1) hard Chengdu 135 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-1) hard Chengdu 134 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Gael Monfils (2-1) hard Chengdu 108 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Yoshihito Nishioka
vs
0
Alexander Shevchenko
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at the Shanghai Masters 1000 tournament features Yoshihito Nishioka facing off against Alexander Shevchenko in the round of 128. On hard courts, both players are poised for a competitive encounter, with Shevchenko slightly favored to win at a probability of 50.18%, compared to Nishioka's 49.82%. The predicted total number of games played is 23.0, indicating a closely contested match.

Match Analysis

Yoshihito Nishioka, currently ranked 157, carries a form index of 35.02 and an Elo rating of 834.32. He has accumulated 141 minutes of court time in this tournament, indicating a higher level of fatigue compared to his opponent. His surface strength index stands at 7.91, with a mean serve index of 96.85 and a mean return index of 86.46. In contrast, Alexander Shevchenko, ranked 88, possesses a form index of 50.54 and a lower cumulative fatigue of 0.0 minutes. His Elo rating is 702.94, with a surface strength index of 7.01. Shevchenko's mean serve index is 95.36, while his mean return index is notably higher at 88.78, showcasing a significant advantage over Nishioka in return capability. In their last three matches, Nishioka has shown resilience, winning his previous two encounters in Shanghai against Aleksandar Vukic and Rio Noguchi, both in straight sets. However, he experienced a setback against Luciano Darderi in Tokyo, where he lost after a grueling match lasting 120 minutes. Conversely, Shevchenko had a mixed performance in Chengdu, losing to Lorenzo Musetti but securing a victory against Taro Daniel, after a lengthy match, and also defeating Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard.

Final Prediction

Alexander Shevchenko holds a slight advantage heading into this matchup, primarily due to his lower fatigue levels and recent form. The key factor to monitor will be Nishioka's endurance, as he navigates through the early rounds of the tournament while maintaining his competitive edge against Shevchenko's returning prowess.