Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 128

Yoshihito Nishioka vs Dusan Lajovic Prediction

Yoshihito Nishioka

Rank: #74
57%
VS

Dusan Lajovic

Rank: #131
43%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Yoshihito Nishioka

Ranking Trends

Yoshihito Nishioka

  • Current Rank: #74 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #67 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #70 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #51 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #80 (2024-05-06)

Dusan Lajovic

  • Current Rank: #131 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #80 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #86 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #53 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #64 (2024-05-06)

Player Metrics

Yoshihito Nishioka

Form Index: 40.7
ELO Rating: 984.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1604.4
Minutes Played in Current Tournament: 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.2
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 8.2
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 86.7

Dusan Lajovic

Form Index: 55.9
ELO Rating: 777.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1596.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 270.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.7
Clay: 9.7
Grass: 6.9
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Yoshihito Nishioka
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Hugo Gaston (0-2) hard Miami 61 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-0) hard Delray Beach 79 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Casper Ruud (0-2) hard Dallas 80 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Frances Tiafoe (2-1) hard Dallas 125 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (2-0) hard Dallas 101 min

Dusan Lajovic
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Cameron Norrie (2-1) clay Rome 123 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Ethan Quinn (2-1) clay Rome 147 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ethan Quinn (0-2) clay Madrid 86 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Cristian Garin (2-0) clay Madrid 91 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (2-0) clay Madrid 91 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Yoshihito Nishioka
vs
0
Dusan Lajovic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Yoshihito Nishioka and Dusan Lajovic in the Round of 128 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Rome promises to be an intriguing encounter on clay. Nishioka is predicted to win with a probability of 56.55%, while Lajovic has a 43.45% chance of success. The match is expected to be closely contested, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Yoshihito Nishioka, currently ranked 74, has a form index of 40.73 and an Elo rating of 984.07. Nishioka has shown resilience with zero cumulative fatigue from the current tournament, suggesting he's fresh and ready to perform. His surface strength index of 6.91 indicates moderate capability on clay, while his mean serve index of 97.15 outperforms Lajovic's 95.65 by over 1 point, demonstrating a slight advantage in serving performance. However, Nishioka's mean return index of 86.67 also exceeds Lajovic's 87.29, albeit by a narrow margin. In contrast, Dusan Lajovic is ranked 131 with a higher form index of 55.94, reflecting his recent form. His Elo rating of 777.58, however, is significantly lower than Nishioka’s. Lajovic has accumulated 270 minutes of fatigue in this tournament, which may impact his endurance. Recently, he has secured victories in his last two matches in Rome, showcasing his adaptability on clay, though he did struggle against Ethan Quinn in Madrid prior to this tournament.

Final Prediction

Yoshihito Nishioka's edge in serving stats and lack of fatigue suggests he may have the upper hand in this matchup. A key factor to monitor will be how well Lajovic can leverage his recent success on clay against a fresher opponent. The ability of both players to maintain their performance levels throughout the match could be decisive.