Winston Salem NC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Yunchaokete Bu vs Mariano Navone Prediction

Yunchaokete Bu

Rank: #75
50%
VS

Mariano Navone

Rank: #78
50%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Mariano Navone

Ranking Trends

Yunchaokete Bu

  • Current Rank: #75 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #70 (2025-05-19)
  • 6 Months Ago: #69 (2025-02-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #66 (2024-11-18)
  • 12 Months Ago: #123 (2024-08-19)

Mariano Navone

  • Current Rank: #78 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #98 (2025-05-19)
  • 6 Months Ago: #46 (2025-02-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #48 (2024-11-18)
  • 12 Months Ago: #37 (2024-08-19)

Player Metrics

Yunchaokete Bu

Form Index: 46.0
ELO Rating: 747.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1526.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 280.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.7
Clay: 5.5
Grass: 5.4
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 86.1

Mariano Navone

Form Index: 50.9
ELO Rating: 1041.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1585.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 163.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.9
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 8.7
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 90.1

Recent Matches

Yunchaokete Bu
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (2-0) hard Winston Salem 88 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (2-1) hard Winston Salem 192 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Joao Fonseca (1-2) hard Cincinnati 139 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Sonego (0-2) hard Toronto 79 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Vit Kopriva (2-0) hard Toronto 110 min

Mariano Navone
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Marcos Giron (2-0) hard Winston Salem 84 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Dhakshineswar Suresh (2-0) hard Winston Salem 79 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Adam Walton (1-2) hard Cincinnati 159 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Emilio Nava (0-2) hard Cincinnati 91 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jan-Lennard Struff (2-1) hard Cincinnati 135 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Yunchaokete Bu
vs
0
Mariano Navone
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Winston-Salem tournament between Yunchaokete Bu and Mariano Navone is set to be a closely contested affair on hard courts. With both players showcasing strong performances, the prediction slightly favors Mariano Navone, who has a winning probability of 50.46% compared to Yunchaokete Bu's 49.54%. The anticipated total number of games played is approximately 23.0.

Match Analysis

Yunchaokete Bu, currently ranked 75th, enters the match with a form index of 45.96 and an Elo rating of 747.70. He has accumulated a fatigue level of 280 minutes from court time in the current tournament, which may impact his performance. His surface strength index is moderately high at 8.69, while his mean serve index of 97.36 is impressive. However, his mean return index stands at 86.13, which is fairly competitive but does not significantly surpass his opponent's. Mariano Navone, ranked 78th, has a slightly better form index at 50.89 and a higher Elo rating of 1041.89. With a cumulative fatigue of just 163 minutes, Navone appears to be in better physical condition heading into this match. His surface strength index is slightly lower at 7.94, but he boasts a mean return index of 90.12, which is 4 points higher than Bu's, indicating a potential edge in returning serves. Both players have demonstrated solid form in their recent matches, with Navone winning his last two matches convincingly and Bu also coming off a strong performance against a tough opponent.

Final Prediction

Mariano Navone's slight edge in Elo rating, better form index, and lower fatigue level provide him with a favorable position heading into this match. A key factor to observe will be how each player handles the service game, particularly given the close competition in their serve and return indices. This match promises to be an engaging contest with both players capable of producing high-quality tennis.